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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV The Spot, FDSNOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Marchenko's goal at 1:15 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were TBL 24, CBJ 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jet Greaves stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Marchenko (1 G), 2. Kent Johnson (1 G), 3. Damon Severson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    K. Johnson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    D. Severson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL2603015224
CBJCBJ11111416331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:58
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:42
  3. TBL
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:22

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:59

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.13win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:15

Penalties

TBL 15 PIM·CBJ 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:01TBLJ.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 1:01CBJDmitri Voronkov · Roughingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 1:01CBJBoone Jenner · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 3:10CBJMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Curtis Douglas5 min
  • 3:10TBLCurtis Douglas · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
  • 6:13TBLserved by Conor Geekie · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:06CBJCole Sillinger · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

2nd

  • 9:46CBJBoone Jenner · Slashingdrawn by Jack Finley2 min
  • 16:49TBLEmil Lilleberg · High stickingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

3rd

  • 3:09TBLJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
  • 3:09CBJAdam Fantilli · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 20:00TBLBrandon Hagel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 20:00CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Marchenko, 3rd 1:15 — CBJ 52% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.28A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.25I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.18A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.18E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.16K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.14K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.13K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.11B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.08D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.06B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.06D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 2.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
3.42 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
1.91 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL51%49%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
24
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/2
15
Penalty minutes
17
14
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
18
21
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011020.25030—24:23
38B. HagelL000-240.90112—23:06
71A. CirelliC101-140.220103623:06
90J. MoserD000010.01112—21:24
59J. GuentzelC011071.180026020:46
21B. PointC000-210.220102320:09
27R. McDonaghD101-210.05100—19:55
43D. RaddyshD000010.05210—18:56
37Y. GourdeC000+100.081007017:37
81E. CernakD011-200.01000—16:58
22O. BjorkstrandR000+100.01010—14:39
78E. LillebergD000000.00222—14:36
14C. GeekieC000-110.241105013:49
29P. HolmbergR011+120.1711010013:49
93G. GoncalvesC000-300.00000011:51
41M. ChaffeeR000000.00010—08:40
62J. FinleyC000000.003003607:14
42C. DouglasC000000.00115005:05
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(L)31283.9032.93-0.0757:57

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).