Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Marchenko's goal at 1:15 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were TBL 24, CBJ 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jet Greaves stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Marchenko (1 G), 2. Kent Johnson (1 G), 3. Damon Severson (1 G).
Three stars
- ★K. Marchenko1 G

- ★★K. Johnson1 G

- ★★★D. Severson1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-14:58
1-112:42
2-116:22
2nd period
2-213:59
3rd period
2-31:15
Penalties
1st
- 1:01
J.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
- 1:01
Dmitri Voronkov · Roughingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
- 1:01
Boone Jenner · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
- 3:10
Mathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Curtis Douglas5 min
- 3:10
Curtis Douglas · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
- 6:13
served by Conor Geekie · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 16:06
Cole Sillinger · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
2nd
- 9:46
Boone Jenner · Slashingdrawn by Jack Finley2 min
- 16:49
Emil Lilleberg · High stickingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min
3rd
- 3:09
Jake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
- 3:09
Adam Fantilli · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
- 20:00
Brandon Hagel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
- 20:00
Mathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirill Marchenko, 3rd 1:15 — 52% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.42 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 1.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 17
- 14
- Hits
- 23
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 21
- Giveaways
- 18
- 3
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















