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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
5
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸8
FinalTV The Spot, FDSNOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 8-5. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 6-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Marchment's goal at 9:05 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 30, CBJ 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 3.8 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mason Marchment (3 G, 1 A), 2. Charlie Coyle (1 G, 2 A), 3. Adam Fantilli (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    M. Marchment3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    C. Coyle1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    A. Fantilli1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL28210112530
CBJCBJ41121624831

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    C. Sillinger(6)
    C. Coyle (21)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:47
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(23)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.00win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:48
  3. CBJ
    M. Marchment(10)
    E. Gudbranson (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:37
  4. TBL
    D. Raddysh(13)PPG
    N. Kucherov (50), J. Guentzel (30)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:01
  5. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(13)
    K. Marchenko (24), M. Marchment (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:33
  6. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(17)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:47

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(26)
    B. Hagel (23), A. Cirelli (19)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:29
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(14)
    N. Kucherov (51), B. Hagel (24)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-4
    4:58
  3. CBJ
    M. Marchment(11)
    Z. Werenski (35), C. Coyle (22)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-5
    9:05
  4. CBJ
    C. Coyle(11)PPG
    A. Fantilli (19), Z. Werenski (36)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-6
    18:57

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Monahan(8)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-7
    14:55
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(24)
    N. Kucherov (52), A. Cirelli (20)
    wristxG 0.07Video
    5-7
    18:54
  3. CBJ
    M. Marchment(12)EN
    A. Fantilli (20), K. Marchenko (25)
    wristxG 0.84Video
    5-8
    19:35

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:28CBJIvan Provorov · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 13:13CBJDmitri Voronkov · Interferencedrawn by Simon Lundmark2 min

2nd

  • 6:59TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 6:59CBJMason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 16:00TBLDeclan Carlile · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
  • 18:47TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Mason Marchment, 2nd 9:05 — CBJ 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.84M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.58S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.51C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.21D. Voronkov · Goal · xG 0.17Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.13A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.12D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.12A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.11C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.10B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.10K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.06B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.06B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.06B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.04C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.04K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.00I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.00D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ8 G · 4.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
2.05 G
All situations
6 G4.1
1.34 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL46%54%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
30
Shots on goal
31
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
27
9
Blocked shots
15
19
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD101-430.17310—27:36
90J. MoserD000-110.13020—26:56
86N. KucherovR134+130.36100—22:43
67D. CarlileD000+210.01122—21:53
59J. GuentzelC213-140.380007519:03
38B. HagelL022-120.06200—18:04
71A. CirelliC123010.142006017:23
51C. D'AstousD000-220.07202—17:20
7S. LundmarkD000+110.01220—16:45
22O. BjorkstrandR000-250.33000—15:58
37Y. GourdeC000-320.022026015:40
28Z. GirgensonsC000-110.08300015:25
29P. HolmbergR000-210.03010—14:04
20N. PaulL000-110.141005814:02
17D. JamesC000000.041008813:49
11J. PelletierL000000.00210—11:53
81E. CernakD000-120.02000—04:59
93G. GoncalvesC000-100.00000004:23
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(L)29236.7932.20-3.8057:54

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).