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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Bogosian's goal at 8:07 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 24, VGK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Akira Schmid stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Gustavsson (29 saves, .935), 2. Pavel Dorofeyev (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael McCarron (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    VGK
    P. Dorofeyev1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. McCarron1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0637111424
VGKVGK08010213231

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:18
  2. MIN
    Z. Bogosian(2)
    D. Yurov (15), Y. Trenin (13)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:07
  3. MIN
    M. McCarron(6)
    B. Faber (27), Q. Hughes (56)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    8:25

3rd period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(30)PPG
    J. Eichel (49), B. Bowman (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:17
  2. MIN
    V. Tarasenko(16)
    J. Spurgeon (12), M. McCarron (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:42
  3. VGK
    M. Marner(18)
    P. Dorofeyev (21), T. Hertl (30)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:55

Penalties

MIN 26 PIM·VGK 16 PIM

1st

  • 14:58VGKBraeden Bowman · Holdingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

2nd

  • 3:00MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar5 min
  • 3:00VGKKeegan Kolesar · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 10:15VGKJeremy Lauzon · Boardingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 10:15MINBrock Faber · Instigatordrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 10:15VGKJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Brock Faber5 min
  • 10:15MINBrock Faber · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 10:15MINBrock Faber · Instigator misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 1:22MINZach Bogosian · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min
  • 9:57VGKJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 9:57MINMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Bogosian, 2nd 8:07 — MIN 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.26M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.20B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.18C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.03K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.03K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
3.44 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN38%62%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
24
Shots on goal
31
31%
Faceoffs
69%
0/1
Power play
1/1
26
Penalty minutes
16
22
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011+100.04010—27:46
97K. KaprizovL000010.09100—22:46
46J. SpurgeonD011+310.04110—21:37
12M. BoldyL000030.23200—20:21
14J. Eriksson EkC000040.903003319:37
25J. BrodinD000+200.07020—19:23
36M. ZuccarelloR101010.24100—17:52
7B. FaberD011+100.000017—16:41
38R. HartmanR000+140.510103716:40
24Z. BogosianD101010.05012—16:37
5J. MiddletonD000-110.01005—16:08
10B. BrinkR000010.08010—13:28
91V. TarasenkoR101+220.68100—12:58
13Y. TreninC011+200.00720011:53
22D. YurovR011+110.162101710:59
78N. SturmC000+100.000004010:59
47M. McCarronC112+110.113022010:41
21R. FabbriC000+130.21100010:39
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)31292.9352.90+0.9060:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).