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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV FDSNNOX, FDSNWIX·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 14:06 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 27, VGK 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Akira Schmid stopped 15 of 15 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Johansson (1 G, 3 A), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Johansson1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2731307527
VGKVGK061515216

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Johansson(12)
    J. Brodin (8), J. Spurgeon (8)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:26
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(25)
    J. Eriksson Ek (19), M. Johansson (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:06

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(3)
    M. Johansson (19), J. Brodin (9)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:26
  2. MIN
    B. Faber(8)
    Y. Trenin (10), K. Kaprizov (24)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-0
    4:32
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(10)
    M. Boldy (22), M. Johansson (20)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-0
    6:56
  4. VGK
    B. McNabb(2)
    I. Barbashev (17), P. Dorofeyev (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    16:50

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(9)
    I. Barbashev (18), M. Marner (31)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    2:14

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·VGK 17 PIM

1st

  • 2:13VGKTomas Hertl · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Hartman5 min
  • 2:13VGKTomas Hertl · Game misconduct10 min
  • 9:39MINNico Sturm · High stickingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 16:40MINJake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min

2nd

  • 0:26VGKserved by Braeden Bowman · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 1st 14:06 — MIN 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.58M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.21I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.21M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.18I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.16M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.13A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.05B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.05J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.5 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
2.25 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.65 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
27
Shots on goal
16
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
17
17
Hits
30
20
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000020.02010—23:01
7B. FaberD101+110.02020—21:33
97K. KaprizovL011+130.44000—19:41
46J. SpurgeonD112+210.19060—19:35
36M. ZuccarelloR000030.22010—18:34
5J. MiddletonD000000.01112—17:30
25J. BrodinD022+310.02040—17:24
24Z. BogosianD000020.04010—16:29
14J. Eriksson EkC112+420.151007516:18
12M. BoldyL112+420.3000010016:14
22D. YurovR000+100.001203316:11
91V. TarasenkoR000-120.15000—14:47
13Y. TreninC011010.08800014:24
17M. FolignoL000-110.0021010014:05
90M. JohanssonL134+430.12000—13:46
38R. HartmanR000-110.070003313:01
78N. SturmC000-110.163125012:26
18V. HinostrozaC000-110.2010010011:24
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)16142.8752.50+0.5059:37

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).