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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Final/OTTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 4:50. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 4:50 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 1.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were VGK 25, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Carl Lindbom stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.5 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK18081900225
MINMIN112160713328

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(3)
    M. Zuccarello (3), M. Johansson (10)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:49
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(11)PPG
    M. Marner (16), T. Hertl (7)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:14

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Y. Trenin(1)
    D. Yurov (1), M. Foligno (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:05

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(3)PPG
    S. Theodore (7), I. Barbashev (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:35

Overtime

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(11)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (4), M. Boldy (11)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:50

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:39MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Cole Reinhardt2 min
  • 12:46VGKBraeden Bowman · Hookingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 14:26MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 17:40VGKZach Whitecloud · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 6:12VGKKaedan Korczak · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 19:27MINMatt Boldy · Broken stick2 min

3rd

  • 5:02MINJared Spurgeon · Holdingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

OT

  • 4:31VGKShea Theodore · Hookingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 4:50 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.02B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.01L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 1.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
1.82 G
All situations
3 G1.5
1.00 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK57%43%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
31
11
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011010.02012—27:14
15N. HanifinD000-130.06120—26:24
3B. McNabbD000010.01220—23:34
9J. EichelC000040.182103623:00
93M. MarnerR011020.2400010020:16
2Z. WhitecloudD000000.01112—20:08
48T. HertlC011-130.240004419:16
42B. BowmanR000-100.05012—19:05
16P. DorofeyevR101030.56000—17:49
49I. BarbashevL011-100.11100—15:59
21B. HowdenC000-110.011005015:54
19R. SmithR101-110.04110—14:06
20B. SaadL000-100.00000—14:04
10C. SissonsC000010.151005013:43
55K. KolesarR000020.02000—10:30
6K. KorczakD000-200.00112—09:53
23C. ReinhardtL000020.06310—09:51
17B. HuttonD000-110.07100—07:44
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Lindbom(O)28253.8931.47-1.5364:50

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).