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St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Seattle Kraken 3-2. The Kraken scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 1:33 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were STL 27, SEA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (3 A), 2. Joel Hofer (34 saves, .944), 3. Vince Dunn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn3 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    V. Dunn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1141518327
SEASEA110010116236

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    A. Larsson (14), V. Dunn (27)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:31
  2. STL
    B. Schenn (14), R. Thomas (24)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.35win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:50

2nd period

  1. STL
    C. Fowler (18), B. Schenn (15)
    tip-inxG 0.38win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:40

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:33
  2. SEA
    J. Eberle (20), J. McCann (17)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:34

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:41SEABerkly Catton · Trippingdrawn by Joel Hofer2 min
  • 16:31STLPius Suter · Holdingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

2nd

  • 6:16SEAEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Kessel2 min
  • 6:48STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

3rd

  • 10:04STLAlexey Toropchenko · Holdingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 17:54STLJustin Faulk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalSTL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, 3rd 1:33 — STL 72% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.34F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.30J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.23J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.21V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.20K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.18J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.15J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.13S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.09M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.08B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.06J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.02R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 3.5 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSEA
3.03 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.70 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL40%60%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSEA
27
Shots on goal
36
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD011-130.05100—26:19
23L. MaillouxD101+140.62100—22:52
72J. FaulkD000010.06112—22:45
17C. FowlerD011+210.03000—20:44
18R. ThomasC112020.850106316:53
89P. BuchnevichL000000.000025016:49
81D. HollowayL101+160.62100—16:12
22P. SuterC000010.0400210015:08
54D. DvorskyR000000.000005014:27
25J. KyrouR000020.05010—14:26
10B. SchennC033+230.272203814:24
21J. SnuggerudR000020.14120—14:21
63J. NeighboursL000-100.00010—13:58
51M. KesselD000000.00320—13:10
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.08212—13:02
70O. SundqvistC000010.04210012:48
37J. FinleyC000000.132004012:03
75T. TuckerD000000.00200—11:39
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)36342.9443.49+1.4960:00

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).