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Kraken at Blues
NHL

Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
▸4
St. Louis Blues
3
Final/OTTV FDSNMW, KHN/Prime·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Shane Wright scoring at 1:57. The Kraken came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shane Wright's goal at 1:57 of overtime, which took the Kraken's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were SEA 30, STL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 0.9 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shane Wright (1 G), 2. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jordan Kyrou (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    S. Wright1 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    E. Tolvanen1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA092151511430
STLSTL29051500319

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Holloway(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:30
  2. STL
    D. Dvorsky(2)PPG
    C. Fowler (6), P. Buchnevich (5)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:40

2nd period

  1. SEA
    R. Evans(1)
    E. Tolvanen (5), T. Kartye (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:28
  2. SEA
    E. Tolvanen(1)PPG
    V. Dunn (6), J. Eberle (6)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:25

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(5)
    P. Broberg (5), R. Thomas (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:10
  2. SEA
    C. Stephenson(4)
    M. Beniers (7), B. Montour (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:58

Overtime

  1. SEA
    S. Wright(4)
    E. Tolvanen (6), R. Evans (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:57

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:13STLJimmy Snuggerud · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 9:12SEAserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:36SEAVince Dunn · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 14:29STLDalibor Dvorsky · Trippingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min

3rd

  • 11:47STLTyler Tucker · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSEA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Shane Wright, OT 1:57 — SEA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hofer · Missed · xG 0.37N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.37A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.29P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.19B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.18J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.13J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.12P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.11P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.09D. Dvorsky · Goal · xG 0.09D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.06P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.02D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsSTL
2.24 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA53%47%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
19
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
32
10
Blocked shots
22
20
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD011+130.09022—24:13
62B. MontourD011010.06020—23:48
9C. StephensonC101010.050105621:48
7J. EberleR011+150.40000—21:08
10M. BeniersC011+100.000104520:54
27M. MarchmentL000020.13100—19:28
17J. SchwartzL000+120.181106719:14
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00010—19:04
41R. EvansD112+120.02200—17:44
84K. KakkoR000010.24000—16:40
6A. LarssonD000030.07110—16:16
20E. TolvanenR123+140.32310—15:17
24J. OleksiakD000000.02100—15:10
51S. WrightC101+120.200002012:41
59B. MeyersC000010.023004011:01
26R. WintertonC000-100.00100010:54
12T. KartyeL011-120.31100—10:22
77B. CattonC000010.09000010:05
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)19163.8422.06-0.9459:33

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).