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Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FDSNMW, KHN/Prime·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Seattle Kraken 5-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 1:12 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were SEA 24, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.0 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Holloway (3 G, 1 A), 2. Pius Suter (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jonatan Berggren (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Holloway3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Suter1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Berggren2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1100806124
STLSTL11121427532

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:58
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.29win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:32

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.27win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:12
  2. STL
    pokexG 0.27win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:35

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.22win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:56
  2. STL
    backhandxG 0.50Video
    1-5
    16:59

Penalties

SEA 0 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:59STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min

2nd

  • 11:48STLCam Fowler · Hookingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min

3rd

  • 14:32STLserved by Jonatan Berggren · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSEA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 2nd 1:12 — STL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.50J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.27D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.27P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.24P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.22T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.19J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.18B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.15D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.12L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.10A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.10J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.08J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.05P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.04D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00J. Finley · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsSTL
3.01 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.11 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA50%50%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
12
18
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000-120.06000—22:19
62B. MontourD011-330.23120—20:36
19J. McCannL000-230.31100—19:28
7J. EberleR000-200.13000—19:02
10M. BeniersC000-210.380006918:58
24J. OleksiakD000-200.00300—18:44
41R. EvansD000-120.11020—18:32
6A. LarssonD000000.00200—18:30
9C. StephensonC000-420.310105017:11
51S. WrightC011+130.212202015:55
17J. SchwartzL000+110.140205615:33
28J. MahuraD000-110.03020—15:21
84K. KakkoR101+110.42100—14:54
20E. TolvanenR000-320.14100—14:00
89F. GaudreauC000000.001003313:51
26R. WintertonC000000.05000013:09
27B. CattonC000-310.19100012:38
59B. MeyersC000020.320007112:38
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)31274.8713.01-0.9958:41

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).