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Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV Victory+, TVAS·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-1. The Canucks scored first; the Stars answered. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lian Bichsel's goal at 8:31 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were DAL 37, VAN 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 13 of 14 (.929), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Nikita Tolopilo stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lian Bichsel (2 G), 2. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    L. Bichsel2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL16216315637
VANVAN170403114

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    deflectedxG 0.75win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:57
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:40

2nd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:31
  2. DAL
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:41

3rd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.13win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-1
    1:33
  2. DAL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    5:40
  3. DAL
    snapxG 0.08Video
    6-1
    15:41

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:31DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Tom Willander2 min

2nd

  • 8:48VANFilip Hronek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 12:06VANTom Willander · Holdingdrawn by Arttu Hyry2 min
  • 12:45DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalDAL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Lian Bichsel, 2nd 8:31 — DAL 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.75M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.13D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.05F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN1 G · 1.6 xG · 21 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsVAN
4.26 G
All situations
1 G1.6
4.05 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL89%11%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.10 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsVAN
37
Shots on goal
14
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
19
8
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000+110.01010—22:34
5N. LundkvistD000+120.19000—21:26
4M. HeiskanenD022+220.17010—20:17
23E. LindellD000+110.03020—19:58
21J. RobertsonL112040.29000—19:00
53W. JohnstonC000030.483004117:57
46I. LyubushkinD011+120.03020—17:26
22M. BourqueC011020.33100017:15
6L. BichselD202+220.27100—16:49
18S. SteelC022+240.72200014:56
95M. DucheneC112+240.501004714:51
14J. BennL000+210.10204—14:11
10O. BäckC000000.06010013:51
11N. BastianR000000.13600—13:50
49J. HryckowianC000+200.060105713:50
15C. BlackwellC112+240.481004313:27
25A. HyryR000030.211007513:19
73A. ErneL101+220.17100—11:03
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)14131.9291.57+0.5760:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).