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Canucks at Stars
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
▸5
Dallas Stars
3
FinalTV Victory+, SN1·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Dallas Stars 5-3. The Canucks came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Sasson's goal at 10:06 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were VAN 26, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Thatcher Demko (28 saves, .903), 2. Quinn Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Demko28 saves, .903
  2. ★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Rantanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0641218526
DALDAL21406111331

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    M. Bourque(1)
    T. Harley (5), R. Faksa (1)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:29
  2. DAL
    M. Rantanen(2)PPG
    J. Robertson (3), R. Hintz (5)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:22

2nd period

  1. VAN
    F. Chytil(3)
    E. Kane (2), F. Hronek (1)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:40
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(3)PPG
    Q. Hughes (2), E. Pettersson (2)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:50
  3. VAN
    M. Sasson(1)
    T. Myers (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:06
  4. VAN
    C. Garland(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:54

3rd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(4)PPG
    T. Seguin (2), J. Robertson (4)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:52
  2. VAN
    Q. Hughes(1)PPG
    C. Garland (2), F. Hronek (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:23

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:25VANJake DeBrusk · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

2nd

  • 4:25VANConor Garland · Slashingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 6:57DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 2:30VANAatu Räty · Trippingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 7:04DALThomas Harley · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 17:25VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 18:58DALMiro Heiskanen · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalVAN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Max Sasson, 2nd 10:06 — VAN 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.47J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.35W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.26R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.25R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.22R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.18A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.16W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.16C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.15T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.12W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.04W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.03W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 4.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsDAL
2.65 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G3.0
0.62 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN31%69%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsDAL
26
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
20
12
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD112+140.13100—25:21
29M. PetterssonD000020.04020—23:59
17F. HronekD022+200.01310—23:27
57T. MyersD011030.07342—23:19
6B. BoeserR101020.551106021:15
8C. GarlandR112+130.55102—20:56
40E. PetterssonC011010.020304020:33
74J. DeBruskL000000.30102—18:58
72F. ChytilC101+120.231004317:42
91E. KaneL011+320.10310—17:41
44K. SherwoodL000020.104005014:17
18D. O'ConnorL000-100.00010—13:22
25E. PetterssonD000+100.01010—10:42
90V. ManciniD000010.02310—09:43
63M. SassonC101+130.42000009:17
54A. RätyC000000.004025008:57
94L. KarlssonC000+110.0410010007:44
13A. BainsL000000.00000—07:23
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)31283.9034.10+1.1060:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).