Skip to content

Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV Victory+, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colin Blackwell's goal at 10:47 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 24, VAN 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (34 saves, .944), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 G), 3. Jason Robertson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger34 saves, .944
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL2806210424
VANVAN210015011236

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:55
  2. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:06
  3. DAL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:44
  4. VAN
    batxG 0.31win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:25

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.16win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:47
  2. DAL
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:29

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:54DALSam Steel · Slashingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min
  • 16:55VANLinus Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

2nd

  • 0:31DALEsa Lindell · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 4:10DALMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Max Sasson2 min
  • 4:50DALMavrik Bourque · Interferencedrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 1:29DALLian Bichsel · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 7:47VANDrew O'Connor · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalDAL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Colin Blackwell, 3rd 10:47 — DAL 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.31J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.27B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.24E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.21K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.19K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.18D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.17J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.15C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.13K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.07L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.07F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06L. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.05C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 4.3 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsVAN
2.64 G
All situations
2 G4.3
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G2.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL22%78%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 4.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsVAN
24
Shots on goal
36
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
8
15
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011+110.01030—28:13
23E. LindellD000+210.01072—25:48
28A. PetrovicD000+310.34450—22:06
96M. RantanenR101+120.20202—19:28
53W. JohnstonC000+110.142102919:13
6L. BichselD000+210.06402—18:57
21J. RobertsonL101+130.28100—17:43
91T. SeguinC000+110.131004415:34
24R. HintzC000010.302103315:11
18S. SteelC000000.000027514:55
12R. FaksaC011+110.100203313:02
10O. BäckC011+200.08000012:48
15C. BlackwellC101020.221002512:13
14J. BennL011020.272004012:06
20K. CapobiancoD000-100.03010—11:48
49J. HryckowianC011+110.051005710:39
22M. BourqueC101+120.17102010:30
44V. KolyachonokD000-140.24000—10:15
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)36342.9444.30+2.3060:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).