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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNDET·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 19:13 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 9% to 25%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were DET 29, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.9 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G, 2 A), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G, 2 A), 3. Frederik Andersen (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0621706229
CARCAR211114211536

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:05
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(22)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (30), S. Jarvis (20)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:52

2nd period

  1. CAR
    E. Robinson(11)
    W. Carrier (7), S. Walker (11)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:52
  2. DET
    S. Edvinsson(7)
    A. DeBrincat (28), D. Larkin (26)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:26
  3. DET
    P. Kane(9)
    M. Seider (33), J. Compher (12)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:13

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(10)
    J. Blake (19), T. Hall (17)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    2:18
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(17)
    T. Hall (18), S. Gostisbehere (31)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    5:30

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:19DETAlbert Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 17:07CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 17:07DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

3rd

  • 6:42CARSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
  • 7:07DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 15:09DETSimon Edvinsson · High sticking double minordrawn by Taylor Hall4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, 2nd 19:13 — DET 9% → 25%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.26E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.23A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.19M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.15M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.14M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.14S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.13L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.12K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.08J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.08E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
2.22 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET33%67%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
29
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
20
23
Blocked shots
6
14
Giveaways
20
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011020.21720—25:07
8B. ChiarotD000050.10322—23:39
77S. EdvinssonD101010.12204—21:37
25J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00250—21:01
23L. RaymondL000000.00000—17:16
71D. LarkinC011040.141124516:39
37J. CompherL011-120.161106316:31
20A. JohanssonD000-210.00122—16:12
18A. CoppC000020.202102515:47
93A. DeBrincatR011+130.16010—15:23
92M. KasperC000-120.202404015:18
88P. KaneR101+120.36000—15:12
22M. AppletonC000-210.00110014:35
58E. FinnieC000000.01200014:17
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000-200.00000—12:21
27M. RasmussenC000-110.072305012:17
21J. van RiemsdykL000-310.03000—09:10
65D. ShineR000-120.41000—09:05
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)36315.8613.14-1.8660:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).