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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, FDSNDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Andrew Copp scoring at 3:27. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 3:27 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 34, DET 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.3 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Copp (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 2 A), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Copp1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR0120731401334
DETDET18250411418

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. van Riemsdyk(12)PPG
    M. Seider (26), L. Raymond (35)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:32

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(24)
    A. Copp (20), B. Chiarot (6)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:28
  2. DET
    A. Johansson(1)
    P. Kane (20), A. DeBrincat (24)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:54

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(14)PPG
    T. Hall (14), A. Nikishin (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:44
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(21)SHG
    S. Aho (27)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:56
  3. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(6)PPG
    S. Aho (28)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:59

Overtime

  1. DET
    A. Copp(8)
    A. DeBrincat (25)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:27

Penalties

CAR 28 PIM·DET 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:37CARJaccob Slavin · Trippingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 10:49CARJackson Blake · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 14:48DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 14:30DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Trippingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

3rd

  • 2:52DETAlbert Johansson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 6:47CARK'Andre Miller · Holdingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
  • 15:18DETLucas Raymond · Slashingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 15:48DETBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 17:30CARTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

OT

  • 3:27CARSebastian Aho · Misconduct10 min
  • 3:27CARShayne Gostisbehere · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, OT 3:27 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.30J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.27M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.23S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.21A. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.21D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.17A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.13B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.12M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.04E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.02E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.7 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
3.53 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.22 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR65%35%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.48 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
34
Shots on goal
18
63%
Faceoffs
37%
2/5
Power play
1/4
28
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
25
12
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20S. AhoC022-130.6220106021:45
74J. SlavinD000-220.04052—21:41
5J. ChatfieldD000-230.09000—20:38
26S. WalkerD000+100.00400—20:15
37A. SvechnikovR000-130.31200—19:26
24S. JarvisR101050.58200—19:22
4S. GostisbehereD101-140.460210—18:48
19K. MillerD000000.01012—18:30
27N. EhlersL000-230.30000—17:38
53J. BlakeR101030.35102—16:38
11J. StaalC000020.194007416:07
21A. NikishinD011+110.06010—15:56
71T. HallL011-120.17002—15:39
22L. StankovenC000-100.110005715:22
48J. MartinookL000020.07410—14:40
50E. RobinsonL000000.00200—10:29
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.151005010:23
77M. JankowskiL000000.021108610:22
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(O)18144.7782.66-1.3463:14

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).