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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNDET·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Robinson's goal at 4:37 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 20, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. John Gibson stopped 33 of 37 (.892); Brandon Bussi stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jalen Chatfield (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1504111220
CARCAR01531726538

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(5)
    J. Compher (8)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:39

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(11)
    S. Gostisbehere (24)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:22
  2. CAR
    E. Robinson(9)
    S. Aho (20), A. Svechnikov (16)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:37
  3. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(4)
    J. Chatfield (6), W. Carrier (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:22

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Copp(4)PPG
    J. Leonard (2), A. Sandin-Pellikka (11)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:11
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(10)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:09
  3. CAR
    J. Martinook(5)EN
    A. Svechnikov (17), S. Gostisbehere (25)
    wristxG 0.83Video
    2-5
    18:39

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

2nd

  • 8:03DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 8:03CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

3rd

  • 1:34CARJalen Chatfield · Holdingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 9:12DETMason Appleton · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 14:11CARNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Robinson, 2nd 4:37 — CAR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.83S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.41E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.21E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.20M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.20M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.20S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.17E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.17M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.16E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.15S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.14E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.10J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 5.2 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
2.02 G
All situations
4 G5.2
1.31 G
Even strength
4 G3.7
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET21%79%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 3.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
20
Shots on goal
38
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
6
16
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-240.27340—26:24
77S. EdvinssonD000-110.02500—22:32
23L. RaymondL000-420.05000—20:26
71D. LarkinC000-410.371006819:38
93A. DeBrincatR000-200.08010—18:50
58E. FinnieC000-320.12000018:15
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD011-210.01010—17:24
8B. ChiarotD000-210.02022—17:18
18A. CoppC101-110.222104015:44
20A. JohanssonD000000.00030—15:31
25J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00210—15:19
37J. CompherL011010.170106715:15
27M. RasmussenC101020.31200015:02
92M. KasperC000020.163205014:32
43J. LeonardL011-100.13300—12:40
22M. AppletonC000+110.01002012:39
29N. DanielsonC000010.070003312:06
85E. SoderblomL000000.00110—09:11
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)37334.8923.94-0.0657:14

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).