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Jets at Ducks
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
4
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
Final/OTTV Victory+, TVAS·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-4 in overtime, Chris Kreider scoring at 4:47. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 4:47 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 5.6 to 4.3; shots on goal were WPG 33, ANA 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 29 of 33 (.879). Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (1 G), 2. Ryan Poehling (1 G), 3. Beckett Sennecke (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Kreider1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Poehling1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    B. Sennecke3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG191142703433
ANAANA0711731115540

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Iafallo(10)
    C. Perfetti (13), D. Samberg (11)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:24

2nd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(23)PPG
    K. Connor (40), L. Stanley (10)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:25
  2. ANA
    J. Trouba(10)
    T. Washe (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:19

3rd period

  1. WPG
    E. Salomonsson(1)
    A. Lowry (12), A. Iafallo (12)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:27
  2. ANA
    L. Carlsson(20)PPG
    J. LaCombe (33), B. Sennecke (27)
    snapxG 0.41win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:32
  3. ANA
    P. Mintyukov(7)
    B. Sennecke (28), D. Helleson (10)
    snapxG 0.42win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:59
  4. ANA
    R. Poehling(6)
    A. Killorn (12), P. Mintyukov (10)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:50
  5. WPG
    K. Connor(27)
    C. Perfetti (14), L. Stanley (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +44 ptsVideo
    4-4
    18:38

Overtime

  1. ANA
    C. Kreider(20)
    B. Sennecke (29)
    backhandxG 0.68win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    4:47

Penalties

WPG 9 PIM·ANA 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:51WPGLogan Stanley · Holdingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 11:19ANARoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 11:19WPGLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 14:09ANAOlen Zellweger · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

2nd

  • 1:38ANAPavel Mintyukov · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 3:30ANAOlen Zellweger · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 5:36WPGTanner Pearson · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 14:38ANATim Washe · Hookingdrawn by Cole Koepke2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalWPG goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, OT 4:47 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.68P. Mintyukov · Goal · xG 0.42L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.41J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.23J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.21L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.20R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.17B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.17J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.16I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.15M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.14J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.14J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.13L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.11T. Washe · On goal · xG 0.11J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.09J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.09J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.08J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.08J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.08J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.08B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.08O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.07J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.07R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.07J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.07O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.06C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.06J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.05R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.04M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.03B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.03T. Washe · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.02D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01T. Washe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.00L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 5.6 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsANA
4.34 G
All situations
5 G5.6
3.23 G
Even strength
4 G4.3
1.11 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 117 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG34%66%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.22 – 5.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsANA
33
Shots on goal
40
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/4
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
14
Hits
23
6
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
64L. StanleyD022020.12102—28:13
81K. ConnorL112-130.91000—26:39
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.490103726:17
2D. DeMeloD000-100.02210—24:28
54D. SambergD011020.09010—23:30
13G. VilardiC101-120.55000022:32
91C. PerfettiC022+340.32210020:38
57E. SalomonssonD101+240.25000—17:40
17A. LowryC011+130.581006816:30
9A. IafalloL112+110.06100—14:57
36M. BarronC000020.481002914:01
5L. SchennD000-100.01415—13:39
14G. NyquistR000-220.11000—13:08
19J. ToewsC000-130.1400010012:47
34V. HeinolaD000-120.05210—12:07
70T. PearsonL000020.10002—12:02
45C. KoepkeL000000.03000—09:04
7V. NamestnikovC000000.00000003:51
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(O)40355.8755.58+0.5864:09

Season series

ANA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).