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Jets at Ducks
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Beckett Sennecke's goal at 11:48 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 24, ANA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.2 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Beckett Sennecke (2 G), 2. Leo Carlsson (2 G), 3. Lukas Dostal (23 saves, .958).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    B. Sennecke2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson2 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal23 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0915010124
ANAANA291814421

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(5)
    C. Gauthier (8), D. Helleson (6)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:18
  2. ANA
    L. Carlsson(9)PPG
    T. Terry (14), C. Kreider (2)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:03

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(9)
    J. Morrissey (11), M. Scheifele (12)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:22
  2. ANA
    B. Sennecke(6)
    C. Gauthier (9), M. McTavish (8)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:48

3rd period

  1. ANA
    L. Carlsson(10)PPG
    C. Kreider (3), J. LaCombe (6)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    2:47

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:39ANARoss Johnston · Holdingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 12:32ANABeckett Sennecke · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 18:15WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

2nd

  • 5:26WPGDylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 12:42ANARyan Poehling · Holding the stickdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 16:40WPGCole Perfetti · Interferencedrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min

3rd

  • 1:47WPGHaydn Fleury · Slashingdrawn by Ian Moore2 min
  • 11:43ANAJansen Harkins · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalWPG goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Beckett Sennecke, 2nd 11:48 — ANA 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.29B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.23C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.19B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.14L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.14M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.14L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.12L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.12C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.08L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.06I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.06L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.06I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.05L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.05M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.00D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsANA
2.21 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG39%61%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsANA
24
Shots on goal
21
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
14
21
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-140.21210—23:08
4N. PionkD000000.06230—22:57
81K. ConnorL101-160.45000—22:00
55M. ScheifeleC011-110.140106020:24
2D. DeMeloD000-110.08212—19:06
64L. StanleyD000010.08102—18:07
91C. PerfettiC000010.20012017:59
13G. VilardiC000-110.20100017:31
19J. ToewsC000010.090205517:11
7V. NamestnikovC000000.06310016:15
9A. IafalloL000020.3210010015:36
5L. SchennD000020.02120—14:48
62N. NiederreiterR000010.20200—14:38
24H. FleuryD000010.04032—14:27
17A. LowryC000000.011005014:10
25P. FordC000000.003005011:04
70T. PearsonL000000.00000—08:42
90N. ChibrikovR000020.07200—06:09
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)21174.8102.83-1.1760:00

Season series

ANA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).