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Sabres at Devils
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸2
New Jersey Devils
1
FinalTV MSG-B, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New Jersey Devils 2-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 8:10 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were BUF 30, NJD 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (27 saves, .964), 2. Tage Thompson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Allen (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    BUF
    T. Thompson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Allen28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF09111110230
NJDNJD01201016128

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(31)
    P. Krebs (19), B. Byram (19)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:10

3rd period

  1. BUF
    P. Krebs(8)
    T. Thompson (30)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:36
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(15)
    J. Hughes (25), J. Bratt (29)
    wristxG 0.72win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:30

Penalties

BUF 9 PIM·NJD 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:44BUFserved by J. Quinn · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:35NJDNico Hischier · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

2nd

  • 14:44NJDJonas Siegenthaler · High stickingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 14:44NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Fightingdrawn by Jason Zucker5 min
  • 14:44BUFJason Zucker · Fightingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler5 min
  • 16:53NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Hookingdrawn by Josh Doan2 min

3rd

  • 11:27BUFOwen Power · Holdingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBUF goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Tage Thompson, 2nd 8:10 — BUF 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.72C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.37T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.22J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.19D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.19T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.17N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.05S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 3.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNJD
3.12 G
All situations
1 G3.9
2.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF38%62%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 3.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
21
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
13
18
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23M. SamuelssonD000040.16510—24:15
26R. DahlinD000010.04220—24:07
4B. ByramD011+100.01020—23:08
25O. PowerD000+100.01112—21:51
89A. TuchR000+120.06210—19:50
72T. ThompsonC112+230.541003019:19
71R. McLeodC000030.330105317:34
22J. QuinnR000+130.19100—15:45
86N. OstlundC000020.12000015:28
91J. DoanR000030.47100—14:58
8M. KesselringD000010.02110—14:43
9J. NorrisC000010.130004614:33
19P. KrebsC112+210.1500010013:41
17J. ZuckerL000030.71115—13:28
48T. KozakC000-110.023007112:04
29B. MalenstynL000-100.00300—11:49
44J. DunneC000-110.07000011:15
73Z. MetsaD000010.03000—08:16
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)28271.9643.94+2.9460:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).