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New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres

FinalTV MSG-B, MSG·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-0. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Arseny Gritsyuk's goal at 7:45 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 23, BUF 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 42 of 42 (1.000), 3.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (42 saves, 1.000), 2. Arseny Gritsyuk (2 G), 3. Paul Cotter (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Allen42 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NJD
    A. Gritsyuk2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    P. Cotter1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD191836523
BUFBUF010015017042

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.33win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:07

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:45

3rd period

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    1:39
  2. NJD
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-0
    5:22
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.13Video
    5-0
    16:49

Penalties

NJD 9 PIM·BUF 7 PIM

1st

  • 2:24NJDStefan Noesen · Fightingdrawn by Tage Thompson5 min
  • 2:24BUFTage Thompson · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Noesen5 min

2nd

  • 8:01NJDCody Glass · Hookingdrawn by Noah Ostlund2 min
  • 13:39BUFJack Quinn · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 15:13NJDArseny Gritsyuk · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Lyon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNJD goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Arseny Gritsyuk, 2nd 7:45 — NJD 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.30J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.27T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.22A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.20T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.17R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.15N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.14J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.11J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.09R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.09A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.08B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.06T. Kozak · On goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.05O. Power · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.05O. Power · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.05A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.05R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.03A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 3.8 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsBUF
2.15 G
All situations
0 G3.8
2.05 G
Even strength
0 G3.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD23%77%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsBUF
23
Shots on goal
42
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
20
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
9
19
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71J. SiegenthalerD000+100.01700—23:50
43L. HughesD000+100.06020—22:39
7D. HamiltonD000+120.02210—21:42
63J. BrattL000+120.19000—19:19
17S. NemecD000+110.02020—19:06
5B. DillonD112+320.07210—18:47
28T. MeierR011+100.124205018:43
16C. BrownR011+210.06030—18:05
13N. HischierC101+120.351006716:58
47P. CotterL112+220.29200—16:03
91D. MercerC011+230.470104715:55
81A. GritsyukR202+260.37002—14:00
12C. GlassC000+220.060026213:28
14L. GlendeningC000000.000206013:07
45C. WhiteD000+300.00020—12:55
18O. PalatL022+200.00120—12:36
83J. LammikkoC000000.00120009:29
11S. NoesenR000000.00005—09:18
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)424201.0003.79+3.7960:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).