New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-0. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Arseny Gritsyuk's goal at 7:45 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 23, BUF 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 42 of 42 (1.000), 3.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (42 saves, 1.000), 2. Arseny Gritsyuk (2 G), 3. Paul Cotter (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Allen42 saves, 1.000

- ★★A. Gritsyuk2 G

- ★★★P. Cotter1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-012:07
2nd period
2-07:45
3rd period
3-01:39
4-05:22
5-016:49
Penalties
1st
- 2:24
Stefan Noesen · Fightingdrawn by Tage Thompson5 min
- 2:24
Tage Thompson · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Noesen5 min
2nd
- 8:01
Cody Glass · Hookingdrawn by Noah Ostlund2 min
- 13:39
Jack Quinn · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
- 15:13
Arseny Gritsyuk · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Lyon2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Arseny Gritsyuk, 2nd 7:45 — 65% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.15 G
- All situations
- 0 G3.8
- 2.05 G
- Even strength
- 0 G3.3
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.72
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 7
- 20
- Hits
- 24
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 19
- Giveaways
- 19
- 8
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















