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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
3
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV SN, SN360·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Lomberg's goal at 6:44 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 3.2; shots on goal were EDM 39, CGY 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 0.9 goals below expected; Devin Cooley stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. MacKenzie Weegar (2 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 3. Devin Cooley (36 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Weegar2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Cooley36 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM110115114339
CGYCGY2101619425

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(10)PPG
    M. Weegar (16), M. Gridin (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:12
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(28)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (32), E. Bouchard (46)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:14
  3. CGY
    M. Gridin(3)PPG
    M. Weegar (17), D. Cooley (1)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:44

2nd period

  1. CGY
    C. Zary(9)
    Z. Whitecloud (7), N. Kadri (28)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:43
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(29)PPG
    E. Bouchard (47), C. McDavid (62)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:26

3rd period

  1. EDM
    K. Kapanen(5)
    V. Podkolzin (13), E. Bouchard (48)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:17
  2. CGY
    R. Lomberg(4)
    N. Kadri (29), Z. Whitecloud (8)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-4
    6:44

Penalties

EDM 13 PIM·CGY 15 PIM

1st

  • 1:54EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 3:21CGYJoel Hanley · Illegal check to headdrawn by Matt Savoie2 min
  • 6:11CGYRyan Lomberg · Slashingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 14:10EDMSpencer Stastney · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:40EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min

2nd

  • 7:30CGYJoel Hanley · Fightingdrawn by Ty Emberson5 min
  • 7:30EDMTy Emberson · Fightingdrawn by Joel Hanley5 min
  • 11:43EDMMattias Janmark · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 11:43CGYMartin Pospisil · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 17:06CGYMatt Coronato · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 11:18CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Lomberg, 3rd 6:44 — CGY 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.58M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.30M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.27R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.27J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.18J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.17M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.11M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.10M. Gridin · Goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
3.23 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.12 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM50%50%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
39
Shots on goal
25
60%
Faceoffs
40%
2/4
Power play
2/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
6
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC011080.660005026:30
2E. BouchardD033+120.09022—26:25
29L. DraisaitlC202+150.550007125:27
18Z. HymanL000-120.14000—23:41
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-120.34002022:50
25D. NurseD000-150.30230—21:50
14M. EkholmD000+130.23020—21:12
96J. WalmanD000010.14020—18:02
92V. PodkolzinR011+110.04000—16:35
42K. KapanenR101+140.22000—15:39
28J. RoslovicC000020.080007114:12
49T. EmbersonD000-100.00115—12:50
24S. StastneyD000-210.04002—12:33
22M. SavoieC000020.11010010:52
81J. SamanskiC000-100.002005009:23
88A. MangiapaneL000-100.09100—07:39
13M. JanmarkC000-100.00002005:32
20C. LazarC000-110.130008004:24
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)25214.8403.10-0.9058:32

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).