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Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV SNW, SN360·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was MacKenzie Weegar's goal at 15:58 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 33% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 19, EDM 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 34 of 39 (.872); Connor Ingram stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (5 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (3 G), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid5 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl3 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY180803119
EDMEDM21521519539

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(11)
    E. Bouchard (28), C. McDavid (40)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:48
  2. CGY
    M. Weegar(3)
    M. Backlund (13)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:58
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(18)PPG
    Z. Hyman (8), C. McDavid (41)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:43

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(19)PPG
    C. McDavid (42), E. Bouchard (29)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:59
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(10)
    C. McDavid (43)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    11:56

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(20)PPG
    Z. Hyman (9), C. McDavid (44)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    5:38

Penalties

CGY 89 PIM·EDM 65 PIM

1st

  • 17:10EDMVasily Podkolzin · Holdingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 18:14CGYRasmus Andersson · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 1:08CGYMatt Coronato · Hookingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 4:45EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 4:45CGYConnor Zary · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 5:48CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 5:48CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Misconduct10 min
  • 5:48CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:22EDMTrent Frederic · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Bahl5 min
  • 8:22CGYKevin Bahl · Fightingdrawn by Trent Frederic5 min
  • 15:30EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 5:15CGYJoel Hanley · Trippingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 6:54EDMAlec Regula · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:28CGYRasmus Andersson · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 12:12EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 19:53CGYRyan Lomberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 19:53EDMMatt Savoie · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53EDMAndrew Mangiapane · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53CGYYan Kuznetsov · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53CGYAdam Klapka · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53EDMAlec Regula · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53CGYRyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53EDMVasily Podkolzin · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53CGYJohn Beecher · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53CGYJoel Hanley · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:53EDMDarnell Nurse · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: MacKenzie Weegar, 1st 15:58 — CGY 33% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.37R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.33L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.31C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.23Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.22L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.21Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02A. Regula · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.00V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 4.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
1.71 G
All situations
5 G4.9
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.80 G
Power play
3 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY9%91%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 4.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
19
Shots on goal
39
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
3/6
89
Penalty minutes
65
27
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
21
21
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-210.06104—24:00
7K. BahlD000-100.00315—22:43
37Y. KuznetsovD000+100.010110—20:56
10J. HuberdeauL000010.04110—19:06
44J. HanleyD000-100.001212—18:31
11M. BacklundC011040.220004718:24
48H. BrzustewiczD000000.00010—18:12
91N. KadriC000-120.321006216:57
27M. CoronatoR000+110.1210210016:20
86J. FarabeeL000-110.06110—16:12
16M. FrostC000030.282005015:29
20B. ColemanL000-110.10610—14:54
47C. ZaryC000000.0011210014:30
17Y. SharangovichC000-120.09000013:58
43A. KlapkaR000000.13301010012:27
18J. BeecherC000000.00321010009:58
70R. LombergL000010.082112—09:54
52M. WeegarD101+120.151122—09:05
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)39345.8724.87-0.1359:34

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).