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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
Calgary Flames
▸3
FinalTV SN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Lomberg's goal at 3:28 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.0, CGY 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 31, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Dustin Wolf stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Coleman (1 G), 2. Ryan Lomberg (1 G), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Lomberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM19010112231
CGYCGY11411018332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(7)
    A. Klapka (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:00
  2. EDM
    E. Bouchard(7)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (36), R. Nugent-Hopkins (21)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:36

2nd period

  1. CGY
    R. Lomberg(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.26win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:28

3rd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(11)
    M. Backlund (14), K. Bahl (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:31
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(24)
    Z. Hyman (10), E. Bouchard (30)
    pokexG 0.11win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:23

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:12CGYYan Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 12:03EDMZach Hyman · Slashingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min
  • 12:03CGYAdam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 18:16EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 5:42EDMAndrew Mangiapane · Holding the stickdrawn by Hunter Brzustewicz2 min
  • 9:36CGYYan Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 12:06CGYKevin Bahl · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Savoie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Lomberg, 2nd 3:28 — CGY 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.26J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.20N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.13Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.12Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.10J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.09M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.09J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.00J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
3.02 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM51%49%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
31
Shots on goal
32
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
29
21
Blocked shots
24
25
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD112040.40030—29:04
97C. McDavidC101071.090205026:39
29L. DraisaitlC011-120.121026324:23
18Z. HymanL011060.46002—23:04
14M. EkholmD000010.11120—22:46
25D. NurseD000-140.09210—20:35
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011030.281305020:10
24S. StastneyD000000.00010—16:21
92V. PodkolzinR000-110.04000—15:14
75A. RegulaD000-210.05030—13:06
22M. SavoieC000000.0001010013:04
28J. RoslovicC000-110.1620010012:54
49T. EmbersonD000-100.00230—12:34
19A. HenriqueC000010.060007711:34
88A. MangiapaneL000000.00102—10:29
13M. JanmarkC000-100.00020008:46
46M. JonesL000-100.00200—07:36
10T. FredericC000-100.111005007:15
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)32293.9062.85-0.1558:26

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).