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Sharks at Avalanche
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Manson's goal at 12:44 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 5.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were SJS 25, COL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (2 G), 2. Josh Manson (1 G), 3. Valeri Nichushkin (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Manson1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0508212225
COLCOL014217211442

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(18)
    V. Nichushkin (20), C. Makar (42)
    deflectedxG 0.64win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:05
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(19)
    N. MacKinnon (52), V. Nichushkin (21)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:47

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Liljegren(1)
    A. Wennberg (27), J. Klingberg (10)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:43
  2. SJS
    P. Kurashev(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:34
  3. COL
    J. Manson(5)
    V. Nichushkin (22), N. MacKinnon (53)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:44
  4. COL
    B. Nelson(29)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.43win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:43

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:57COLParker Kelly · Slashingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 10:09COLBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 11:29SJSAlexander Wennberg · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 17:38SJSKiefer Sherwood · Holdingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

2nd

  • 4:08SJSPhilipp Kurashev · High stickingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 10:41COLZakhar Bardakov · Hookingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

3rd

  • 11:50COLBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Collin Graf2 min
  • 11:50SJSMacklin Celebrini · Slashingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Manson, 3rd 12:44 — COL 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.64A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.45B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.43P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.29C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.20B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.19J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.19V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.18V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.18J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.17J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.09D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.07J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 5.6 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
2.02 G
All situations
3 G5.6
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G4.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS15%85%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 4.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
42
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
16
21
Blocked shots
6
23
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71M. CelebriniC000-120.370224020:14
21A. WennbergC011010.020024620:12
38M. FerraroD000000.00320—20:12
37T. LiljegrenD101+120.03120—20:08
9D. OrlovD000-130.20310—19:29
72W. EklundL000-320.18210—19:26
3J. KlingbergD011-300.00330—19:13
2W. SmithC000-220.07000017:41
44K. SherwoodL000010.09412—17:39
96P. KurashevC101+220.350024017:09
5V. DesharnaisD000000.00430—16:48
85S. MukhamadullinD000000.00130—15:09
73T. ToffoliC000-130.19000014:59
51C. GrafR000030.1600010014:22
77M. MisaC000-200.00010011:30
63Z. OstapchukC000000.001102910:16
23B. GoodrowC000040.29210009:42
81A. GaudetteR000000.070005008:39
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30Y. Askarov(L)41383.9274.97+1.9759:12

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).