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San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 6-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 19:07 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 70% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were SJS 26, COL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mackenzie Blackwood (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ross Colton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Blackwood26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    R. Colton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0501704026
COLCOL215311116642

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:39
  2. COL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:07

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:44
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    4:51
  3. COL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-5
    5:00

3rd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.11Video
    0-6
    16:15

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:30SJSAdam Gaudette · High stickingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min
  • 17:45SJSWilliam Eklund · Interferencedrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min

2nd

  • 6:18COLDevon Toews · Holdingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 9:05SJSTy Dellandrea · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 13:20COLGabriel Landeskog · Hookingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 16:04COLJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

3rd

  • 7:18COLBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 10:35SJSVincent Desharnais · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 1st 19:07 — COL 70% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.33M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.26J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.21A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.19R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kiviranta · Goal · xG 0.15A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.13J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.09D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · Goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02I. Ivan · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Ivan · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 4.2 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
2.60 G
All situations
6 G4.2
1.50 G
Even strength
5 G2.8
1.10 G
Power play
1 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS26%74%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 4.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
26
Shots on goal
42
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
10
18
Blocked shots
22
13
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD000-220.08000—22:45
51C. GrafR000-100.00010—21:08
71M. CelebriniC000-230.711004120:47
37T. LiljegrenD000-210.01020—20:35
72W. EklundL000-210.02012—20:26
38M. FerraroD000-100.07340—18:29
2W. SmithC000-240.5800010018:06
21A. WennbergC000-130.341003617:28
85S. MukhamadullinD000-120.11000—17:01
10T. DellandreaC000-120.174127116:58
6S. DickinsonD000-210.33110—16:55
5V. DesharnaisD000-210.01232—15:52
96P. KurashevC000-110.03110012:47
23B. GoodrowC000-120.01230012:46
81A. GaudetteR000-100.0020210012:12
73T. ToffoliC000-110.12010011:55
63Z. OstapchukC000-100.004003809:27
75R. ReavesR000-120.03100—07:04
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic23212.9131.79-0.2135:06
30Y. Askarov(L)19154.7892.41-1.5924:51

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).