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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
San Jose Sharks
▸3
Final/OTTV ALT, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Philipp Kurashev scoring at 1:48. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Philipp Kurashev's goal at 1:48 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 38, SJS 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.2 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Yaroslav Askarov (37 saves, .974), 2. Macklin Celebrini (1 G), 3. Philipp Kurashev (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    Y. Askarov37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    P. Kurashev2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL1151150701238
SJSSJS16150913323

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(9)
    C. Makar (14), D. Toews (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:30
  2. SJS
    M. Celebrini(7)
    T. Toffoli (3), S. Mukhamadullin (3)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:21

2nd period

  1. SJS
    P. Kurashev(4)
    T. Dellandrea (5), J. Klingberg (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:07
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(10)
    A. Lehkonen (8), V. Nichushkin (4)
    xG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:10

Overtime

  1. SJS
    P. Kurashev(5)
    A. Wennberg (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:48

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:55COLIlya Solovyov · High stickingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 13:09SJSJohn Klingberg · Interferencedrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min

2nd

  • 4:50SJSMacklin Celebrini · Slashingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

3rd

  • 3:07COLDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:13COLGabriel Landeskog · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Philipp Kurashev, OT 1:48 — SJS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.12M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.11D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.07W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.05P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.02P. Giles · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.02P. Giles · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 1.8 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
3.52 G
All situations
3 G1.8
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL77%23%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
38
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
10
18
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011-200.00020—25:22
84B. BurnsD000030.12020—24:11
7D. ToewsD011-100.00102—23:39
88M. NecasC101-140.6310010022:33
29N. MacKinnonC101040.361104322:17
62A. LehkonenL011+120.29020—21:01
42J. MansonD000+130.06420—20:57
11B. NelsonC000-100.110004719:05
13V. NichushkinR011030.36100—17:32
18J. DruryC000010.510006415:20
70S. MalinskiD000050.12010—15:04
95V. OlofssonL000040.31000—13:38
20R. ColtonC000-130.1710010012:50
92G. LandeskogL000010.12002—12:29
17P. KellyC000040.2411010011:14
28I. SolovyovD000+100.01132—09:06
93Z. BardakovC000010.091002506:59
16T. MakarL000000.00100—06:07
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(O)23203.8701.79-1.2161:48

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).