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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Washington Capitals
▸4
FinalTV MNMT, MSGSN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Islanders scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Fehérváry's goal at 5:29 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 36% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYI 30, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. David Rittich stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Clay Stevenson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Clay Stevenson (29 saves, .967), 2. Martin Fehérváry (1 G), 3. Nic Dowd (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    C. Stevenson29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    N. Dowd1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1120909130
WSHWSH0628211425

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(15)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:38

2nd period

  1. WSH
    M. Fehérváry(4)
    T. Wilson (26), N. Dowd (12)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:29
  2. WSH
    A. Beauvillier(11)
    M. Roy (14), A. Ovechkin (25)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:00

3rd period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(4)
    R. Sandin (16), E. Frank (12)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:46
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson(10)EN
    A. Protas (19)
    snapxG 0.50Video
    1-4
    17:35

Penalties

NYI 13 PIM·WSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:26WSHNic Dowd · Slashingdrawn by David Rittich2 min
  • 10:51NYIMatthew Schaefer · Holdingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 19:41WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

3rd

  • 1:47NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 1:47NYIScott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 1:47WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
  • 3:37NYICarson Soucy · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 18:51NYIAnthony Duclair · Slashingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Fehérváry, 2nd 5:29 — WSH 36% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.50J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.31J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.23N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.16R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.14J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.13J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.11S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.11R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.10J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Fehérváry · Goal · xG 0.07R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.03R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.03B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH4 G · 3.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
2.91 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI54%46%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
18
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
23
14
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD000-210.25022—23:23
10S. HolmstromR000-120.25010—21:22
3A. PelechD000-210.01000—21:14
77T. DeAngeloD000-120.09110—20:56
6R. PulockD000000.00020—20:05
14B. HorvatC000-220.480002520:00
13M. BarzalC101-110.210005018:22
81O. PalatL000-210.24110—17:28
51E. HeinemanL000050.20420—16:09
44J. PageauC000-200.003106715:24
4C. SoucyD000010.03202—14:33
29J. DrouinL000010.021003614:22
53C. CizikasC000050.540106713:56
24S. MayfieldD000030.06007—13:28
27A. LeeL000-110.08000—11:35
11A. DuclairL000-210.07112—11:34
16M. GatcombC000020.17300011:02
32K. MacLeanC000010.1820010010:50
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)24213.8752.62-0.3857:08

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).