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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

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Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aliaksei Protas's goal at 13:52 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were WSH 29, NYI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 34 of 36 (.944); Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 29 (.862). Three stars: 1. Aliaksei Protas (2 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Fehérváry (1 G), 3. Matthew Schaefer (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Protas2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Schaefer1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2921406429
NYINYI03113120236

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:50
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:52

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:50
  2. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    15:30
  3. NYI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:51

3rd period

  1. NYI
    pokexG 0.36win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:28

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:47NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min

2nd

  • 7:44NYIKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 18:43WSHJakob Chychrun · Elbowingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

3rd

  • 3:26WSHMatt Roy · Slashingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 4:28WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Aliaksei Protas, 1st 13:52 — WSH 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.36B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.16S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.14M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.06A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.06M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.05E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.03E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.03M. Shabanov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
4.74 G
All situations
2 G2.3
3.24 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.60 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH75%25%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.70 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
29
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
33
20
Blocked shots
22
17
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+120.59030—22:44
38R. SandinD000+100.03320—21:01
3M. RoyD000000.00242—20:06
6J. ChychrunD022+300.01012—19:45
21A. ProtasL213+351.05000—19:19
43T. WilsonR011+210.04210—19:18
42M. FehérváryD101+130.24140—18:53
80P. DuboisC000+240.390105618:30
17D. StromeC000+120.230105518:08
8A. OvechkinL011+120.32200—17:28
24C. McMichaelL000+220.71110—16:01
57T. van RiemsdykD000+200.01000—15:02
26N. DowdC000010.180105614:22
22B. DuhaimeL000000.00600—13:50
34J. SourdifC000010.31200012:37
72A. BeauvillierR000040.30100—10:52
9R. LeonardR101+120.31300—10:01
29H. LapierreC000000.02010009:09
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)36342.9442.30+0.3059:44

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).