Washington Capitals at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 13:58 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.9, NYI 3.7; shots on goal were WSH 19, NYI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Thompson (30 saves, .968), 3. Bo Horvat (1 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Wilson2 G, 1 A

- ★★L. Thompson30 saves, .968

- ★★★B. Horvat1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-07:37
2nd period
2-013:58
3rd period
2-113:43
3-118:49
4-119:29
Penalties
1st
- 7:25
Matthew Schaefer · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
2nd
- 1:22
Tom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
- 4:02
Jakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Maxim Tsyplakov2 min
3rd
- 0:55
Scott Mayfield · Slashingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
- 12:24
Anthony Beauvillier · High stickingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tom Wilson, 2nd 13:58 — 67% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.92 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.7
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.4
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 3.63
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 21
- Hits
- 23
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 8
- Giveaways
- 18
- 3
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















