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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

FinalTV NHLN, MNMT·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 13:58 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.9, NYI 3.7; shots on goal were WSH 19, NYI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Thompson (30 saves, .968), 3. Bo Horvat (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH171824419
NYINYI0901319131

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(14)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:37

2nd period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:58

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(15)PPG
    snapxG 0.30win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:43
  2. WSH
    M. Roy (5), T. Wilson (14)
    slapxG 0.36win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:49
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.94Video
    4-1
    19:29

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:25NYIMatthew Schaefer · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

2nd

  • 1:22WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 4:02WSHJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Maxim Tsyplakov2 min

3rd

  • 0:55NYIScott Mayfield · Slashingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
  • 12:24WSHAnthony Beauvillier · High stickingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, 2nd 13:58 — WSH 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.30A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.24A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.22A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.20A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.19S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.18J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.14M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.12E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.10A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.07T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.06E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.06E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.01K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.00M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 3.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
3.92 G
All situations
1 G3.7
1.41 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH21%79%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
19
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD011+120.83320—22:38
6J. ChychrunD000+200.02312—22:36
21A. ProtasL101+210.401005021:19
74J. CarlsonD000+110.01020—20:46
24C. McMichaelL000+100.001103520:34
43T. WilsonR213+230.38212—19:29
38R. SandinD000+110.04030—17:40
42M. FehérváryD000000.01110—17:18
57T. van RiemsdykD000+100.00000—17:01
72A. BeauvillierR011+120.59212—16:55
34J. SourdifC000+120.041003316:54
8A. OvechkinL112+120.97100—14:54
22B. DuhaimeL000010.05300—14:42
17D. StromeC000+120.300107814:31
9R. LeonardR011010.18200—14:18
53E. FrankR000000.00000—09:16
29H. LapierreC000000.00100007:11
15S. MilanoL000010.10000—06:39
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)31301.9683.73+2.7360:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).