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Wild at Oilers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸7
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV FDSNNOX, FDSNWI·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 7-3. The Oilers scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Quinn Hughes's goal at 12:29 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals were close — MIN 4.4, EDM 4.3; shots on goal were MIN 29, EDM 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Wallstedt (39 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Q. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt39 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2133729729
EDMEDM210017115342

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(27)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:16
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(14)PPG
    Q. Hughes (47), J. Wallstedt (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:15
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(13)
    C. McDavid (61), E. Bouchard (45)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:01
  4. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(30)PPG
    J. Eriksson Ek (24), M. Zuccarello (23)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:24

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(9)
    R. Hartman (11)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:35
  2. MIN
    Q. Hughes(5)
    B. Faber (23)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:29
  3. MIN
    V. Tarasenko(14)
    M. Foligno (5), D. Yurov (13)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-2
    15:40

3rd period

  1. MIN
    T. Pitlick(2)
    Y. Trenin (12), V. Hinostroza (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-2
    9:42
  2. EDM
    J. Roslovic(15)
    D. Nurse (11), J. Samanski (1)
    snapxG 0.18Video
    6-3
    12:43
  3. MIN
    B. Faber(12)
    M. Boldy (27), J. Middleton (11)
    wristxG 0.09Video
    7-3
    14:17

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:59EDMCurtis Lazar · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 10:48EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 15:12MINYakov Trenin · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:15EDMZach Hyman · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jesper Wallstedt2 min

2nd

  • 18:40MINBrock Faber · Holdingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMIN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Quinn Hughes, 2nd 12:29 — MIN 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.34C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.23Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.18C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.18J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.18C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.06J. Samanski · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 4.3 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsEDM
4.47 G
All situations
3 G4.3
3.75 G
Even strength
3 G3.9
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN52%48%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.28 – 4.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
42
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
24
22
Blocked shots
17
17
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD112+310.45042—25:50
43Q. HughesD112+430.16010—25:14
5J. MiddletonD011-200.00140—20:42
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.06110—19:58
12M. BoldyL011-120.13200—19:30
97K. KaprizovL101+231.05000—18:21
14J. Eriksson EkC112-110.311005317:01
38R. HartmanR011+330.430204316:22
36M. ZuccarelloR112+350.5201010015:17
22D. YurovR011-120.341104014:29
91V. TarasenkoR101-110.16000—14:22
90M. JohanssonL000030.15000—14:11
55D.JiricekD000000.00110—13:51
48D. HuntD000000.01020—13:12
18V. HinostrozaC011010.4513010012:42
13Y. TreninC011+100.005025512:39
17M. FolignoL011010.11210—12:23
19T. PitlickC101+110.10210009:56
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(W)42393.9294.30+1.3060:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).