Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 19:52 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were EDM 30, MIN 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Filip Gustavsson stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (2 G), 2. Brock Faber, 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Boldy2 G

- ★★B. Faber

- ★★★L. Draisaitl2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-13:42
0-210:56
1-213:35
2-218:44
2-319:52
3rd period
2-49:08
2-518:35
Penalties
1st
- 9:53
Leon Draisaitl · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
- 9:53
Leon Draisaitl · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
- 17:10
Jake Middleton · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
2nd
- 1:06
Jonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 1st 19:52 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.12 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.8
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.6
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.65
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 23
- Hits
- 25
- 5
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 11
- Giveaways
- 16
- 4
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















