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Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 19:52 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were EDM 30, MIN 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Filip Gustavsson stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (2 G), 2. Brock Faber, 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    B. Faber
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM21406010230
MINMIN316010211537

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:42
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(22)PPG
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:56
  3. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:35
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(22)PPG
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:44
  5. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:52

3rd period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.81win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    9:08
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.90Video
    2-5
    18:35

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:53EDMLeon Draisaitl · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 9:53EDMLeon Draisaitl · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 17:10MINJake Middleton · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

2nd

  • 1:06MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 1st 19:52 — MIN 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.90V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.81M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.28M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.20B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.17Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.15N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.09D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 4.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
3.12 G
All situations
4 G4.8
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G3.6
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM38%62%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
25
5
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD011-230.35000—27:07
97C. McDavidC101-260.783005325:09
18Z. HymanL011-310.17000—22:49
29L. DraisaitlC022-250.711044622:07
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-230.291003321:58
14M. EkholmD000-220.22300—21:46
25D. NurseD000+100.02010—21:25
24S. StastneyD000010.02020—18:54
92V. PodkolzinR000-110.106005017:21
49T. EmbersonD000-100.00100—14:25
22M. SavoieC000-110.060105012:42
61R. StillmanD000-110.01100—11:57
10T. FredericC000000.003006711:49
19A. HenriqueC000010.060105311:35
13M. JanmarkC000000.00000010:37
88A. MangiapaneL101020.24100—09:55
23Q. HutsonR000010.03000—09:17
46M. JonesL000020.05300—08:22
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(L)36324.8893.86-0.1457:42

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).