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Flames at Wild
NHL

Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Frost's goal at 5:49 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 6% to 21%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were CGY 30, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Middleton (1 A), 2. Filip Gustavsson (29 saves, .967), 3. Jared Spurgeon (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Middleton1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0140719130
MINMIN2305216424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    D. Yurov(8)
    V. Tarasenko (16), D. Hunt (5)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:43
  2. MIN
    V. Hinostroza(3)
    J. Middleton (10), J. Spurgeon (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:37

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Frost(11)
    J. Huberdeau (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:49
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(29)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (37), Q. Hughes (46)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:17
  3. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(29)EN
    B. Faber (22), J. Eriksson Ek (23)
    wristxG 0.43Video
    1-4
    17:45

Penalties

CGY 9 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:45CGYAdam Klapka · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 2:45MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Adam Klapka5 min
  • 6:05MINBrock Faber · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 18:20MINRyan Hartman · High stickingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min

3rd

  • 6:05MINQuinn Hughes · High stickingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 14:53CGYMartin Pospisil · Elbowingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 16:07CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCGY goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Frost, 3rd 5:49 — CGY 6% → 21%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.43M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.20Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.15M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.13M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.13M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.10D. Yurov · Goal · xG 0.10V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsMIN
2.31 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY52%48%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
24
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
11
17
Blocked shots
15
18
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28Z. WhitecloudD000-130.07310—24:26
7K. BahlD000-100.00220—23:08
11M. BacklundC000-120.140004020:30
52M. WeegarD000-110.06172—20:02
27M. CoronatoR000-130.2800010018:15
17Y. SharangovichC000-100.12000018:05
37Y. KuznetsovD000020.04110—17:50
10J. HuberdeauL011+140.260005016:48
92M. GridinR000-120.29010—16:26
16M. FrostC101020.160207116:25
47C. ZaryC000-230.30000016:22
48H. BrzustewiczD000+100.01010—16:15
91N. KadriC000-230.210004416:12
76M. PospisilC000-110.13502012:36
44J. HanleyD000000.00010—12:20
86J. FarabeeL000-120.03110—11:25
23J. KirklandC000010.020005010:35
43A. KlapkaR000010.20305—09:17
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(L)23203.8702.22-0.7859:53

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).