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Wild at Flames
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV FDSNNOX, FDSNWI·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Coronato's goal at 3:33 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 27, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Dustin Wolf stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Coleman (1 A), 2. Dustin Wolf (26 saves, .963), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Wolf26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0111709127
CGYCGY06115310431

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(5)
    R. Andersson (14), M. Coronato (7)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:21
  2. MIN
    Y. Trenin(2)
    Z. Bogosian (1), Z. Buium (10)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:51

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Coronato(9)
    M. Frost (9), J. Hanley (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:33
  2. CGY
    C. Zary(3)
    B. Coleman (4), M. Backlund (11)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:18
  3. CGY
    R. Andersson(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.57Video
    1-4
    19:00

Penalties

MIN 2 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:56CGYMikael Backlund · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 13:28CGYBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 15:31CGYNazem Kadri · High sticking double minordrawn by Zeev Buium4 min

3rd

  • 10:58MINBrock Faber · Interferencedrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 11:24CGYNazem Kadri · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalMIN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Coronato, 3rd 3:33 — CGY 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.57J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.34J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.32C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.23R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.18Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.17B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.16R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.15M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.15B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.08J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.03C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCGY
2.81 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-230.16142—24:22
12M. BoldyL000-420.1211010021:51
36M. ZuccarelloR000-140.42010—21:06
97K. KaprizovL000-430.35010—20:34
25J. BrodinD000010.02000—20:22
46J. SpurgeonD000-140.48020—19:53
14J. Eriksson EkC000-330.104103819:15
8Z. BuiumD011000.13000—19:14
38R. HartmanR000-100.223104218:46
90M. JohanssonL000-110.38010—18:34
5J. MiddletonD000-200.00100—16:44
91V. TarasenkoR000+110.03120—14:45
24Z. BogosianD011000.01010—12:44
13Y. TreninC101+120.175005012:10
78N. SturmC000+130.212107011:10
28L. OhgrenL000000.00110—10:36
39B. JonesC000000.004006010:16
19T. PitlickC000000.00100008:18
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)30273.9003.19+0.1957:20

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).