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Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNOX, FDSNWI·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Calgary Flames 2-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 13:47 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 36, MIN 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jesper Wallstedt stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Johansson (1 A), 2. Jesper Wallstedt (36 saves, 1.000), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Johansson1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt36 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY011012013036
MINMIN081714219

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:47

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.89win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:10

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

2nd

  • 5:23CGYserved by M. Coronato · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:13MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 8:17CGYMatt Coronato · High stickingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 16:03CGYAdam Klapka · Hookingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

3rd

  • 9:48MINYakov Trenin · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 13:33MINKirill Kaprizov · Trippingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 15:00CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCGY goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 2nd 13:47 — MIN 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.89K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.28D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.20K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.18M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.17M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02D. Jiricek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 3.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsMIN
2.10 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY50%50%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsMIN
36
Shots on goal
19
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
13
13
Blocked shots
20
19
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000-260.11322—26:01
4R. AnderssonD000-110.09020—24:58
7K. BahlD000020.13010—21:19
44J. HanleyD000-110.02300—21:02
27M. CoronatoR000-150.350126719:41
91N. KadriC000-240.300005319:11
10J. HuberdeauL000-130.48110—18:07
16M. FrostC000-110.001006516:46
86J. FarabeeL000-100.00000—16:30
20B. ColemanL000000.0503010015:13
17Y. SharangovichC000-120.1100010015:02
11M. BacklundC000030.070006414:35
29S. HonzekL000010.08110—12:08
47C. ZaryC000010.020002512:08
37Y. KuznetsovD000020.03100—11:58
94B. PachalD000030.09010—11:21
43A. KlapkaR000010.10212—09:41
70R. LombergL000000.07300—08:38
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(L)18171.9442.12+1.1257:41

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).