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Sabres at Canadiens
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
2
FinalTV MSG-B, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Beck Malenstyn's goal at 14:58 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 58% to 77%. Expected goals were close — BUF 3.3, MTL 3.1; shots on goal were BUF 17, MTL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (32 saves, .941), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 3. Bowen Byram.

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    B. Byram

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF281316417
MTLMTL01021509234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Zucker(11)
    J. Quinn (18), R. McLeod (21)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:44
  2. BUF
    B. Malenstyn(4)SHG
    M. Samuelsson (18)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:58

2nd period

  1. BUF
    Z. Benson(6)
    K. Helenius (3), N. Ostlund (9)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    2:25
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(26)
    N. Suzuki (41), M. Matheson (19)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:56
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki(16)
    Z. Bolduc (9)
    snapxG 0.40win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:20

3rd period

  1. BUF
    P. Krebs(6)EN
    T. Thompson (26)
    snapxG 0.48win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:16

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:01BUFMichael Kesselring · High stickingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

2nd

  • 7:44BUFRasmus Dahlin · Slashingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 14:47BUFMattias Samuelsson · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 14:47MTLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
  • 16:55MTLZachary Bolduc · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 16:55MTLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 16:55BUFRasmus Dahlin · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min

3rd

  • 5:51BUFNoah Ostlund · Slashingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 7:16MTLLane Hutson · Slashingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalBUF goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Beck Malenstyn, 1st 14:58 — BUF 58% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.40J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.19J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.16J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.15N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.12I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.12N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.09M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.08M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.07O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.05L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.00O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsMTL
3.33 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF36%64%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsMTL
17
Shots on goal
34
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
28
18
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. ByramD000+310.15100—27:21
25O. PowerD000+200.00120—26:25
23M. SamuelssonD011-100.03522—23:03
26R. DahlinD000-210.13124—22:53
71R. McLeodC011+100.621004320:53
89A. TuchR000040.33330—19:46
72T. ThompsonC011-110.080202817:14
17J. ZuckerL101+120.19110—17:00
22J. QuinnR011+110.21000—16:57
91J. DoanR000-200.00100—15:26
86N. OstlundC011+100.00002013:02
8M. KesselringD000+120.13012—12:04
29B. MalenstynL101+110.296205011:41
12J. GreenwayL000+100.00000—10:57
6Z. BensonL101+120.56100—10:47
19P. KrebsC101010.484005710:38
94K. HeleniusC011+110.141103309:36
78J. BrysonD000+100.00020—06:17
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)34322.9413.10+1.1060:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).