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Oilers at Jets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
3
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 8:19 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 19% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 30, WPG 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.2 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 A), 3. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM17112211430
WPGWPG3110302316

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(21)
    M. Scheifele (29), A. Iafallo (8)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:11
  2. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(10)
    K. Kapanen (4), T. Emberson (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:02
  3. WPG
    T. Pearson(5)
    C. Koepke (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:16
  4. WPG
    J. Morrissey(7)
    K. Connor (30), M. Scheifele (30)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:56

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(29)
    L. Draisaitl (40), E. Bouchard (32)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:39

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(13)
    D. Nurse (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:19
  2. EDM
    E. Bouchard(9)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (24), C. McDavid (48)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-3
    10:37

Penalties

EDM 9 PIM·WPG 9 PIM

1st

  • 5:53WPGNino Niederreiter · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:10EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

2nd

  • 17:34WPGLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Trent Frederic5 min
  • 17:34EDMTrent Frederic · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min

3rd

  • 9:21WPGNino Niederreiter · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:24EDMJack Roslovic · High stickingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 3rd 8:19 — EDM 19% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.14J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.06J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04D. Zhilkin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01D. Zhilkin · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG3 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
3.24 G
All situations
3 G1.8
2.83 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM73%27%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
16
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
9
Hits
24
8
Blocked shots
9
16
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD112040.22010—26:02
97C. McDavidC112+150.770003324:24
24S. StastneyD000-210.03000—20:55
29L. DraisaitlC011+220.260007120:31
14M. EkholmD000+110.01020—20:07
25D. NurseD011-130.07130—20:05
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011+110.09002019:53
18Z. HymanL101020.44000—19:41
49T. EmbersonD011+100.00210—16:40
92V. PodkolzinR101+110.33200—14:45
42K. KapanenR011+110.01100—14:44
28J. RoslovicC000-220.200024314:11
61R. StillmanD000+100.00210—12:59
22M. SavoieC000-210.180005012:47
53I. HowardL000-240.46000—12:26
13M. JanmarkC000020.09000012:12
20C. LazarC000000.001003306:51
10T. FredericC000000.00005006:47
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)16133.8131.81-1.1960:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).