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Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 4:37 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were WPG 21, EDM 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Thomas Milic stopped 9 of 11 (.818); Stuart Skinner stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Curtis Lazar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Lazar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0504212221
EDMEDM4161516627

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.38win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:00
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:37
  3. EDM
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:24
  4. EDM
    slapxG 0.08win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    13:31

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-5
    2:42

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.21Video
    1-5
    4:12
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.15Video
    1-6
    13:29
  3. WPG
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.02Video
    2-6
    15:25

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:18WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:37EDMConnor McDavid · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Eric Comrie2 min

3rd

  • 10:36EDMAlec Regula · Roughingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 10:36WPGJosh Morrissey · Roughingdrawn by Alec Regula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWPG goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 1st 4:37 — EDM 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.38C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.36M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.26T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.23M. Savoie · Goal · xG 0.23T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.20C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.16D. Tomasek · Goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.15M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.15M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.14D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.12D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.08C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.08V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Regula · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM6 G · 4.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsEDM
2.12 G
All situations
6 G4.3
1.92 G
Even strength
5 G4.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG20%80%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 4.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsEDM
21
Shots on goal
27
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
36
Hits
9
6
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-210.13012—22:46
4N. PionkD000-100.02200—21:41
2D. DeMeloD000-310.05210—21:27
64L. StanleyD000010.01410—20:13
13G. VilardiC101-110.29000019:20
55M. ScheifeleC011030.391004418:41
54D. SambergD000010.01010—18:05
81K. ConnorL011020.47002—17:32
17A. LowryC000-100.057005016:09
19J. ToewsC000-110.160004015:57
9A. IafalloL000-110.02210—14:31
5L. SchennD000000.00300—14:08
7V. NamestnikovC000-310.062005013:33
91C. PerfettiC000-210.10100013:04
45C. KoepkeL101+140.14400—12:39
70T. PearsonL000+100.00100—12:36
36M. BarronC000+130.226104512:28
62N. NiederreiterR000-300.00100—12:13
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32T. Milic1192.8182.16+0.1640:00
1E. Comrie(L)16124.7502.18-1.8219:44

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).