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Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV Prime·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Jones's goal at 8:00 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.9 to 3.5; shots on goal were EDM 21, WPG 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Calvin Pickard (41 saves, .976), 2. Adam Lowry (1 G), 3. Jack Roslovic (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. Pickard41 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Roslovic1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM092418321
WPGWPG015011116142

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:00
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:49

3rd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:46
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(11)EN
    wristxG 0.47win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:37

Penalties

EDM 11 PIM·WPG 7 PIM

1st

  • 11:18EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 11:18EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Fightingdrawn by Neal Pionk5 min
  • 11:18WPGNeal Pionk · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins5 min
  • 17:28EDMLeon Draisaitl · Cross checkingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

2nd

  • 8:35EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 11:13WPGDylan Samberg · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Max Jones, 2nd 8:00 — EDM 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.26J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.22M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.17G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.16G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.00C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.00M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 3.9 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
3.52 G
All situations
1 G3.9
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM29%71%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
21
Shots on goal
42
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
22
Hits
32
17
Blocked shots
8
21
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000040.30022—26:35
14M. EkholmD000020.13110—23:17
25D. NurseD000010.01030—21:38
29L. DraisaitlC000010.401127321:18
24S. StastneyD000010.02120—21:07
97C. McDavidC011+110.511005519:43
13M. JanmarkC000010.23000018:06
18Z. HymanL101+120.53110—18:02
92V. PodkolzinR000020.0341010017:23
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000+100.09017014:49
49T. EmbersonD000+100.00120—14:47
22M. SavoieC011000.00000014:18
28J. RoslovicC101030.320006013:12
19A. HenriqueC011000.600006312:43
61R. StillmanD000+100.00320—11:50
10T. FredericC000010.0120010008:55
20C. LazarC000000.07510008:20
46M. JonesL101020.21200—08:01
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)42411.9763.89+2.8959:56

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).