Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Jones's goal at 8:00 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.9 to 3.5; shots on goal were EDM 21, WPG 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Calvin Pickard (41 saves, .976), 2. Adam Lowry (1 G), 3. Jack Roslovic (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Pickard41 saves, .976

- ★★A. Lowry1 G

- ★★★J. Roslovic1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
1-08:00
2-012:49
3rd period
2-15:46
3-118:37
Penalties
1st
- 11:18
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
- 11:18
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Fightingdrawn by Neal Pionk5 min
- 11:18
Neal Pionk · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins5 min
- 17:28
Leon Draisaitl · Cross checkingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
2nd
- 8:35
Evan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
- 11:13
Dylan Samberg · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Max Jones, 2nd 8:00 — 47% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.52 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.9
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.5
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.77
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 7
- 22
- Hits
- 32
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 21
- Giveaways
- 13
- 9
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















