Devils at Islanders 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

New Jersey Devils

New York Islanders

▸2

FinalTV MSGSN2, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 2-1. The Devils scored first; the Islanders answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Pelech's goal at 18:45 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.9 to 3.3; shots on goal were NJD 32, NYI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.1 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Rittich (31 saves, .969), 2. Adam Pelech (1 G), 3. Simon Holmstrom (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

★
D. Rittich31 saves, .969
★★
A. Pelech1 G
★★★
S. Holmstrom1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NJD	115	06	011	132
NYI	07	114	14	225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

B. Pesce(1)
N. Hischier (19), D. Mercer (14)
wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
1-0
15:35

2nd period

S. Holmstrom(7)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.11win prob +20 ptsVideo
1-1
12:10

3rd period

A. Pelech(2)
A. Lee (15), S. Holmstrom (9)
slapxG 0.17win prob +45 ptsVideo
1-2
18:45

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYI

100%

Biggest swing: Adam Pelech, 3rd 18:45 — NYI 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 3.9 xG · 49 att NYI

2 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.91 G
All situations: 2 G3.3; 3.51 G
Even strength: 2 G3.1; 0.40 G
Power play: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

60%40%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

32
Shots on goal: 25; 55%
Faceoffs: 45%; 0/0
Power play: 0/0; 0
Penalty minutes: 0; 15
Hits: 26; 20
Blocked shots: 11; 15
Giveaways: 14; 1
Takeaways: 8

Box score

every player line

New Jersey Devils skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	FO%	TOI
43L. HughesD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	0	2	—	23:57
22B. PesceD	1	0	1	+1	5	0.13	0	4	—	21:55
71J. SiegenthalerD	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	—	20:30
86J. HughesC	0	0	0	-2	1	0.27	0	0	0	20:27
7D. HamiltonD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	2	2	—	20:02
13N. HischierC	0	1	1	0	3	0.15	0	3	66	18:54
5B. DillonD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	3	3	—	18:46
91D. MercerC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.60	0	1	0	18:00
28T. MeierR	0	0	0	+1	7	1.20	1	0	—	17:51
16C. BrownR	0	0	0	0	2	0.47	0	0	—	17:49
12C. GlassC	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	44	17:31
63J. BrattL	0	0	0	-2	1	0.27	0	1	—	16:22
81A. GritsyukR	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	0	—	15:01
45C. WhiteD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	—	13:43
18O. PalatL	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	—	11:50
47P. CotterL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	100	09:47
14L. GlendeningC	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	3	1	33	09:38
11S. NoesenR	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	100	08:57

New Jersey Devils goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
25J. Markstrom(L)	25	23	2	.920	3.11	+1.11	59:00

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score