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New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

Final/OTTV MSGSN2, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2 in overtime, Mathew Barzal scoring at 1:17. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 1:17 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 24, NJD 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G), 2. Simon Nemec (1 G), 3. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    S. Nemec1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI07181811324
NJDNJD11101011400235

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier(5)PPG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:12

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:55

3rd period

  1. NYI
    pokexG 0.13win prob +39 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:07
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt (11), T. Meier (8)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:55

Overtime

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.25win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:17

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:38NYIserved by A. Duclair · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:52NYIKyle Palmieri · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 9:10NYICalum Ritchie · Hookingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 13:16NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 15:59NJDPaul Cotter · Interferencedrawn by Emil Heineman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, OT 1:17 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.21T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.19T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.18J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.17J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.12Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.09L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.08L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.05S. Nemec · Goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.04A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.02P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 3.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
1.73 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.21 G
Power play
1 G2.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI18%82%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
24
Shots on goal
35
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
13
19
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD011+110.07030—23:25
28A. RomanovD000-110.01010—22:01
48M. SchaeferD011+130.05130—21:26
24S. MayfieldD000-110.02000—21:16
3A. PelechD000010.02030—18:47
10S. HolmstromR000-120.14020—18:18
44J. PageauC000-100.001005718:17
14B. HorvatC112+110.163006717:45
13M. BarzalC101+110.251125717:35
21K. PalmieriC112+120.17302016:55
29J. DrouinL011+130.52000—16:53
51E. HeinemanL000020.14420—16:30
77T. DeAngeloD000+110.02000—13:28
27A. LeeL000010.03020—13:07
11A. DuclairL000020.07100—11:27
7M. TsyplakovR000010.02200—10:12
64C. RitchieC000000.000126709:33
53C. CizikasC000010.0111010009:27
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)35332.9433.73+1.7361:17

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).