Skip to content
Penguins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Domi's goal at 11:35 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 32, TOR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.7 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (2 G, 2 A), 2. Max Domi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Bobby McMann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Domi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    B. McMann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11219111332
TORTOR27112312631

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(12)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:07
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(13)
    S. Crosby (18), K. Letang (16)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:51
  3. TOR
    M. Maccelli(5)
    W. Nylander (26), P. Myers (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:34

2nd period

  1. TOR
    S. Lorentz(4)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:38
  2. PIT
    R. McGroarty(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:43

3rd period

  1. PIT
    A. Mantha(11)
    P. Wotherspoon (9), J. Brazeau (7)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    1:00
  2. TOR
    M. Domi(4)
    O. Ekman-Larsson (17), W. Nylander (27)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-4
    11:35
  3. TOR
    B. McMann(10)EN
    M. Domi (10)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-5
    17:57
  4. TOR
    W. Nylander(13)EN
    J. Tavares (18), M. Knies (23)
    wristxG 0.87Video
    3-6
    18:36

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 20:00PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min
  • 20:00TORBobby McMann · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

3rd

  • 9:10PITErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 9:41TORMatias Maccelli · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 9:57PITBen Kindel · Slashingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 19:15TORPhilippe Myers · Interferencedrawn by Rutger McGroarty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalPIT goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Max Domi, 3rd 11:35 — TOR 53% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.90W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.87W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.39S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.28W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.25M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.18J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.17S. Lorentz · Goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.14M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.14B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.13M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.13N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.09N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.07S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.01
TOR6 G · 5.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsTOR
2.03 G
All situations
4 G5.1
1.73 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT29%71%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
19
7
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-460.16102—22:42
28P. WotherspoonD011-200.00120—22:04
77B. KulakD000000.00010—20:24
58K. LetangD011-220.01222—20:11
17B. RustR101-330.34000—19:05
87S. CrosbyC011-220.131005518:21
5R. SheaD000+110.03010—17:27
67R. RakellR000-330.29000—17:18
3J. St. IvanyD000+120.20100—17:01
18T. NovakC000+120.250003814:53
39A. ManthaR101-130.16200—14:52
19C. DewarC000-110.01000014:41
55N. AcciariC000-110.071004013:28
16J. BrazeauR011+120.20200—13:09
81B. KindelC000010.022122912:49
41V. KoivunenR000000.00000—12:18
2R. McGroartyR101030.12100—12:16
13K. HayesR000-100.022003311:54
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)29254.8623.33-0.6759:07

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).