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Maple Leafs at Penguins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸7
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 7-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bobby McMann's goal at 2:24 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were TOR 23, PIT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Dennis Hildeby stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 10 of 13 (.769), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 2. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Max Domi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Domi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR273828723
PITPIT110010115235

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    O. Ekman-Larsson(4)
    M. Knies (19), A. Matthews (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:46
  2. PIT
    B. Kindel(6)PPG
    S. Crosby (11), B. Rust (11)
    batxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:14
  3. TOR
    E. Cowan(3)
    W. Nylander (21), M. Rielly (15)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:06

2nd period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(6)
    M. Rielly (16), O. Ekman-Larsson (16)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:24
  2. TOR
    D. Joshua(3)
    N. Roy (5), T. Stecher (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    4:53
  3. TOR
    N. Roy(2)PPG
    M. Domi (4), B. McMann (4)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-1
    13:58

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(16)
    K. Hayes (2)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    4:37
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(10)
    M. Domi (5), M. Knies (20)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-2
    7:14
  3. TOR
    N. Robertson(6)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18Video
    7-2
    13:16

Penalties

TOR 10 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:06TORDakota Mermis · Holdingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 15:26TORMax Domi · Hookingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 18:12PITConnor Dewar · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 12:05PITParker Wotherspoon · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
  • 18:57PITBryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min

3rd

  • 14:18TORScott Laughton · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 14:18PITAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 14:18PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 14:18TORJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 16:29TORJohn Tavares · Trippingdrawn by Ben Kindel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalTOR goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Bobby McMann, 2nd 2:24 — TOR 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.15B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.14S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.13B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.11E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.11B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.11D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.11A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.10K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.10T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.09K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.09B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.08B. Kindel · Goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.07P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.07B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05V. Koivunen · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.00M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.00M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.00P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 3.0 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPIT
2.47 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.66 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR39%61%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPIT
23
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
16
26
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28T. StecherD011+300.00010—23:52
22J. McCabeD000+200.00142—21:36
44M. RiellyD022+300.00020—21:10
23M. KniesL022020.32110—20:17
34A. MatthewsC112+140.300203119:47
91J. TavaresC000+150.430026519:34
88W. NylanderR011+210.05000—19:17
53E. CowanR101+210.14110—18:44
51P. MyersD000010.02220—15:52
55N. RoyC112+210.202104315:28
11M. DomiC022000.00012015:14
36D. MermisD000000.00142—15:10
95O. Ekman-LarssonD112+220.24000—13:56
81D. JoshuaC101+220.21720012:51
74B. McMannC112+230.32010011:50
24S. LaughtonC000+100.002126710:47
18S. LorentzC000+100.00220010:40
89N. RobertsonL101+110.18010—10:02
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Hildeby(W)35332.9433.03+1.0359:45

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).