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Panthers at Lightning
NHL

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV NHLN, The Spot·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 3:48 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 56% to 73%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.4, TBL 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 24, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Jonas Johansson stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (2 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (26 saves, .929), 3. J.J. Moser (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky26 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Moser1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA2821313524
TBLTBL01315110228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(16)SHG
    A. Ekblad (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:16
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(10)
    U. Balinskis (5), S. Jones (14)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:48

2nd period

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(19)
    C. Verhaeghe (16), A. Ekblad (9)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    11:48
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(17)PPG
    M. Samoskevich (12)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    18:08
  3. TBL
    M. Crozier(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (10), B. Point (12)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    19:27

3rd period

  1. TBL
    J. Moser(3)
    B. Point (13), D. Raddysh (17)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    2:11
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(10)
    U. Balinskis (6)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-2
    6:37

Penalties

FLA 19 PIM·TBL 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:41FLANiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 8:40TBLDarren Raddysh · Interferencedrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

2nd

  • 4:46TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 4:46FLABrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min
  • 4:46TBLMax Crozier · Roughingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 8:05FLAGustav Forsling · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 12:38FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 16:35TBLCurtis Douglas · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 2:11FLAserved by J. Boqvist · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 3:52TBLJake Guentzel · Fightingdrawn by Niko Mikkola5 min
  • 3:52FLANiko Mikkola · Fightingdrawn by Jake Guentzel5 min
  • 14:18FLAEvan Rodrigues · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:28TBLNikita Kucherov · Interferencedrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 15:28FLAUvis Balinskis · Embellishment2 min
  • 19:05TBLYanni Gourde · Slashingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalFLA goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Anton Lundell, 1st 3:48 — FLA 56% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.19B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.16J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · Missed · xG 0.06J. Moser · Goal · xG 0.06C. Douglas · On goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.04D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03C. Douglas · Missed · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03M. Crozier · Goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.02D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.02C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.02D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.00M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.00J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTBL
2.45 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.43 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.91 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA53%47%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
0/5
19
Penalty minutes
17
25
Hits
33
17
Blocked shots
3
18
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011+120.12250—26:14
5A. EkbladD022000.00020—23:06
13S. ReinhartC202+260.7200010022:19
15A. LundellC101+210.102203719:50
77N. MikkolaD000+100.00317—19:24
17E. RodriguesC000030.281126018:18
11M. SamoskevichR011010.33500—16:42
26U. BalinskisD022+200.00002—16:34
2J. PetryD000+220.04000—16:11
9S. BennettC000+220.124005916:04
63B. MarchandL101+210.16202—15:55
27E. LuostarinenC000-110.0521010015:24
10A. GreerL000020.19000—15:02
23C. VerhaegheC112+230.27210014:57
42G. ForslingD000-100.00124—13:57
70J. BoqvistC000-200.00010007:59
18N. GregorL000-100.00010—06:24
53J. StudnickaC000-200.00100005:40
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)28262.9292.18+0.1860:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).