Skip to content
Lightning at Panthers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Florida Panthers
1
FinalTV The Spot, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Florida Panthers 3-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Finley's goal at 4:09 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 20, FLA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Jack Finley (1 G), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    J. Finley1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    B. Marchand1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1100723320
FLAFLA0617010123

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    E. Lilleberg(2)
    N. Kucherov (8)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:19

2nd period

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(12)PPG
    S. Reinhart (3), A. Lundell (11)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:31

3rd period

  1. TBL
    J. Finley(1)
    C. Douglas (2), S. Sabourin (1)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:09
  2. TBL
    Z. Girgensons(4)EN
    Y. Gourde (3)
    snapxG 0.94win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:09

Penalties

TBL 16 PIM·FLA 14 PIM

1st

  • 8:55FLASam Bennett · Elbowingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 3:00TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Cross checkingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 8:33TBLYanni Gourde · Cross checkingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 8:33FLALuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 11:26TBLZemgus Girgensons · Chargingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 13:10TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 0:09FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
  • 5:36FLAGustav Forsling · Hookingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 8:09TBLErik Cernak · High sticking double minordrawn by Evan Rodrigues4 min
  • 12:09TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 12:09FLAEetu Luostarinen · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 12:09FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min
  • 12:09TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 12:50FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTBL goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Finley, 3rd 4:09 — TBL 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.06B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.04J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.00J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 2.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsFLA
3.42 G
All situations
1 G2.0
2.12 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL59%41%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsFLA
20
Shots on goal
23
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
1/5
16
Penalty minutes
14
27
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
7
18
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59J. GuentzelC000+210.290205025:05
86N. KucherovR011+160.35310—22:31
90J. MoserD000+110.10230—22:24
37Y. GourdeC011+110.103344420:21
43D. RaddyshD000000.16100—20:20
21B. PointC000+110.270005419:49
28Z. GirgensonsC101+110.94402019:36
51C. D'AstousD000000.00014—18:13
81E. CernakD000+110.00314—18:05
24M. CrozierD000+220.01010—17:50
78E. LillebergD101+210.06012—16:02
22O. BjorkstrandR000000.11000—15:18
93G. GoncalvesC000000.00100012:56
61B. KatchoukL000000.00100—10:35
46S. SabourinR011+120.37200—09:06
62J. FinleyC101+130.433004508:25
42C. DouglasC011+100.05300007:07
11J. PelletierL000000.1711010006:12
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)23221.9572.01+1.0160:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).