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Lightning at Devils
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸8
New Jersey Devils
4
FinalTV The Spot, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New Jersey Devils 8-4. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pontus Holmberg's goal at 7:56 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were TBL 35, NJD 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.6 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (4 A), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov4 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL41521327835
NJDNJD11516216437

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(3)
    S. Sabourin (2)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:57
  2. TBL
    D. Raddysh(6)
    N. Kucherov (24), B. Hagel (13)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:48
  3. NJD
    L. Hughes(2)
    B. Dillon (7), P. Cotter (5)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:00
  4. TBL
    P. Holmberg(3)
    J. Moser (7), Y. Gourde (6)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:56
  5. TBL
    J. Guentzel(15)PPG
    O. Bjorkstrand (9), D. Raddysh (16)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:00

2nd period

  1. TBL
    O. Bjorkstrand(3)
    J. Guentzel (16), B. Point (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-1
    6:19
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt(6)PPG
    S. Nemec (10), S. Noesen (3)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-2
    13:12
  3. TBL
    B. Hagel(18)
    N. Kucherov (25), D. Carlile (1)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-2
    16:35

3rd period

  1. NJD
    A. Crookshank(1)
    C. White (1), S. Nemec (11)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +2 ptsVideo
    6-3
    3:13
  2. TBL
    B. Point(5)
    N. Kucherov (26), J. Moser (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    7-3
    7:55
  3. NJD
    P. Cotter(4)
    C. Glass (2), L. Hughes (15)
    wristxG 0.33Video
    7-4
    15:28
  4. TBL
    O. Bjorkstrand(4)PPG
    J. Guentzel (17), N. Kucherov (27)
    wristxG 0.13Video
    8-4
    15:57

Penalties

TBL 11 PIM·NJD 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:28NJDNico Hischier · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 14:53NJDSimon Nemec · Hookingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 17:10TBLScott Sabourin · Boardingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 17:10NJDBrenden Dillon · Fightingdrawn by Scott Sabourin5 min
  • 17:10TBLScott Sabourin · Fightingdrawn by Brenden Dillon5 min

2nd

  • 12:18TBLYanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min

3rd

  • 13:37TBLScott Sabourin · Slashingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 15:15NJDOndrej Palat · Holdingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalTBL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Pontus Holmberg, 1st 7:56 — TBL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.35P. Cotter · Goal · xG 0.33D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.26A. Crookshank · Goal · xG 0.22N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.18J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.18N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.16S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.16J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12L. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.09P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.08S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.08C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.05S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.05S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.02A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.02X. Parent · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.4 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNJD
3.08 G
All situations
4 G3.4
2.06 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
1.02 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL45%55%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
15
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD112+210.03210—23:09
51C. D'AstousD000-130.13200—20:59
90J. MoserD022+240.10000—20:49
37Y. GourdeC011+210.021124719:31
78E. LillebergD000+110.03320—19:23
28Z. GirgensonsC000+100.00310018:44
24M. CrozierD000010.03020—17:12
38B. HagelL112+240.55120—16:55
29P. HolmbergR101+220.02000—16:19
86N. KucherovR044+240.24000—16:12
67D. CarlileD011+230.08200—16:04
21B. PointC112+120.180105315:27
59J. GuentzelC123+120.560106015:22
71A. CirelliC000010.310105614:17
22O. BjorkstrandR213030.37100—13:47
20N. PaulL101020.230004612:38
42C. DouglasC000010.14000009:48
46S. SabourinR011000.00019—09:08
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)37334.8923.40-0.6059:22

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).