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Devils at Lightning
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸5
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
FinalTV The Spot, MSGSN2·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-3. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Bratt's goal at 4:48 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 70% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were NJD 31, TBL 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.1 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Brown (2 G), 2. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    C. Brown2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD3170727531
TBLTBL022718317

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier(1)
    N. Hischier (1), D. Mercer (1)
    pokexG 0.29win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:30
  2. NJD
    C. Brown(1)
    A. Gritsyuk (1), L. Hughes (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:17
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(1)
    T. Meier (1), L. Hughes (4)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    13:48

2nd period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(1)
    B. Point (3), M. Crozier (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:31
  2. TBL
    R. McDonagh(1)
    B. Hagel (1), M. Crozier (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:23

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(2)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +21 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:48
  2. NJD
    C. Brown(2)
    A. Gritsyuk (2), S. Nemec (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-2
    6:29
  3. TBL
    D. Raddysh(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (1), G. Goncalves (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-3
    16:17

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:41TBLJack Finley · Roughingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 10:43TBLMax Crozier · Elbowingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 18:33TBLErik Cernak · Boardingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

2nd

  • 8:37NJDLuke Hughes · Delaying game2 min
  • 14:23TBLBrandon Hagel · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

3rd

  • 3:21NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Trippingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 18:11NJDJacob Markstrom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNJD goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Bratt, 3rd 4:48 — NJD 70% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.22N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.15D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.12A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Crozier · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · Goal · xG 0.04C. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.03C. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01C. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.01P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 1.9 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTBL
3.85 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.64 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD74%26%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTBL
31
Shots on goal
17
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
25
24
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000000.00430—21:30
43L. HughesD022+220.02112—20:32
5B. DillonD000000.01430—20:14
13N. HischierC112+230.670205819:59
86J. HughesC000071.201006019:19
91D. MercerC011+300.0014010019:08
7D. HamiltonD000+110.15100—18:51
63J. BrattL101+130.56110—18:06
28T. MeierR112+130.40020—17:14
71J. SiegenthalerD000+100.00012—17:01
17S. NemecD011020.01010—15:01
16C. BrownR202030.12110—14:45
18O. PalatL000-120.18330—14:29
81A. GritsyukR022+130.32100—13:14
47P. CotterL000-200.01300—12:59
14L. GlendeningC000-200.005106212:52
12C. GlassC000+200.060005711:57
15Z. MacEwenR000020.07110—07:12
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)17143.8241.93-1.0759:48

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).