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Devils at Lightning
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, The Spot·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New Jersey Devils 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 19:38 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were NJD 32, TBL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.6 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (3 G), 2. Darren Raddysh (1 G, 2 A), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (31 saves, .969).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel3 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy31 saves, .969

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01411305132
TBLTBL27110212529

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(9)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:40
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(9)
    A. Cirelli (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:38

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(10)PPG
    D. Raddysh (4), O. Bjorkstrand (6)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:38
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(4)
    A. Gritsyuk (6), J. Bratt (13)
    deflectedxG 0.31win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:47

3rd period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(2)
    B. Point (8), J. Moser (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:49
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(11)PPG
    N. Kucherov (9), D. Raddysh (5)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    7:48

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:34TBLBrayden Point · Holdingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 13:15TBLDarren Raddysh · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

2nd

  • 4:43NJDStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 9:18NJDLuke Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

3rd

  • 6:48NJDArseny Gritsyuk · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 12:09TBLNikita Kucherov · High stickingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 15:04TBLserved by G. Goncalves · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 19:16NJDSimon Nemec · Interferencedrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 19:16TBLCurtis Douglas · Roughingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNJD goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 19:38 — TBL 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.43J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.22B. Point · On goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.12G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05C. Douglas · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03C. Douglas · Missed · xG 0.03C. Douglas · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.01D. James · Missed · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTBL
3.01 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD43%57%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
29
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
7
13
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD000020.15012—23:56
17S. NemecD000030.15022—21:11
7D. HamiltonD000-130.16010—19:53
5B. DillonD000-230.04120—19:21
13N. HischierC101040.904106118:06
91D. MercerC000-220.120203818:06
71J. SiegenthalerD000000.00010—18:03
81A. GritsyukR011040.18302—16:30
63J. BrattL011020.26200—15:58
28T. MeierR000-210.05000—15:28
11S. NoesenR000030.21202—15:21
16C. BrownR000-210.06100—15:21
47P. CotterL000030.55000—14:20
18O. PalatL000000.00000—13:20
44D. CholowskiD000-100.00000—13:18
33E. DadonovL000010.06110—12:51
14L. GlendeningC000000.090007512:04
83J. LammikkoC000000.003007111:49
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)29245.8283.40-1.6060:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).