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Utah Mammoth at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV Utah16, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Utah Mammoth 6-3. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Will Smith's goal at 6:16 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — UTA 3.0, SJS 2.8; shots on goal were UTA 34, SJS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (2 G, 2 A), 2. Will Smith (2 G, 1 A), 3. Macklin Celebrini (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Toffoli2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    W. Smith2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA21201715334
SJSSJS31331502630

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:41
  2. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:58
  3. UTA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:06
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:59
  5. UTA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:00

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:16
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-5
    7:25
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-6
    9:09

3rd period

  1. UTA
    L. Crouse(6)SHG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    6:30

Penalties

UTA 8 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:59UTAMikhail Sergachev · Slashingdrawn by Timothy Liljegren2 min
  • 16:37SJSBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

2nd

  • 1:34SJSBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min
  • 10:47UTADmitri Simashev · Cross checkingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 14:33UTAJJ Peterka · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:09UTAMichael Carcone · Interferencedrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 13:23SJSCollin Graf · Holdingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalUTA goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Will Smith, 2nd 6:16 — SJS 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Regenda · Goal · xG 0.21A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.20T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.18P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.18P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.17P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.17W. Smith · Goal · xG 0.17T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10W. Smith · Goal · xG 0.10A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.08A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.08W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.08A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.05A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.05C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.05C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.03W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.03S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.02T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.02W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS6 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsSJS
3.03 G
All situations
6 G2.8
2.42 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA52%48%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsSJS
34
Shots on goal
30
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
8
17
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011-250.13222—23:53
9C. KellerR011040.32010—22:17
77J. PeterkaR101040.28012—21:25
28I. ColeD000+100.00330—20:00
88N. SchmidtD011010.01010—19:05
6J. MarinoD000010.01000—18:11
26D. SimashevD000010.05012—18:04
50S. DurziD000-310.25020—17:02
27B. HaytonC000030.321004316:25
92L. CooleyC000-240.263006415:23
11D. GuentherR000-220.24100—15:08
8N. SchmaltzC000-200.000208315:07
67L. CrouseL202+220.5202010015:01
82K. StenlundC000-100.000006013:42
22J. McBainC000+110.073108012:46
53M. CarconeL011+110.03202—10:26
56K. YamamotoR000-240.480105010:10
13B. TanevL000-200.00100—08:06
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)21183.8571.93-1.0746:51
70K. Vejmelka963.6670.86-2.1412:59

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).