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Utah Mammoth at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV Utah16, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Macklin Celebrini scoring at 2:52. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Macklin Celebrini's goal at 2:52 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 2.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were UTA 26, SJS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.4 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Macklin Celebrini (3 G), 2. Yaroslav Askarov (24 saves, .923), 3. JJ Peterka (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini3 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    Y. Askarov24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    J. Peterka2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
UTAUTA070721101226
SJSSJS27090412322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:47
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:58

3rd period

  1. UTA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:25
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:09

Overtime

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:52

Penalties

UTA 10 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:34UTAIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Will Smith2 min

2nd

  • 3:45SJSBarclay Goodrow · Interferencedrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 12:24UTAClayton Keller · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 17:45UTAJJ Peterka · Trippingdrawn by Sam Dickinson2 min

3rd

  • 4:23SJSMacklin Celebrini · Hookingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 13:38UTAserved by M. Carcone · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

OT

  • 1:48UTAserved by J. Peterka · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalUTA goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Macklin Celebrini, OT 2:52 — SJS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.23W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.16C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.16T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.11M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.06S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.03S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Ostapchuk · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.02T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 1.6 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsSJS
2.42 G
All situations
3 G1.6
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA67%33%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 1.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
22
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000030.17010—27:32
88N. SchmidtD011000.08110—21:55
6J. MarinoD000-120.22010—21:14
28I. ColeD000010.00012—20:38
11D. GuentherR000-140.51110—19:45
8N. SchmaltzC000-110.100004319:27
92L. CooleyC011010.141005018:23
9C. KellerR000-110.40012—17:56
82K. StenlundC000030.030004017:29
57N. DeSimoneD000+130.06110—16:37
27B. HaytonC000-120.140004014:28
67L. CrouseL011+200.0021010014:26
77J. PeterkaR202+220.22002—13:57
56K. YamamotoR000-100.051005013:06
2O. MaattaD000000.00010—12:06
22J. McBainC000+100.002106011:58
53M. CarconeL000030.28300—11:34
13B. TanevL000000.00100—08:05
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(O)22193.8641.55-1.4562:52

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).