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San Jose Sharks at Utah Mammoth

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Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Liam O'Brien's goal at 16:09 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 4.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were SJS 21, UTA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 1.8 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Schmaltz (3 G, 1 A), 2. Clayton Keller (1 G, 3 A), 3. Liam O'Brien (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    L. O'Brien1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS072915321
UTAUTA212111311634

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.23win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:39
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:31

2nd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:23
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:13
  3. UTA
    B. Tanev (1), I. Cole (1)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:09

3rd period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.35win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    0:54
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.23win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-5
    3:25
  3. UTA
    snapxG 0.08Video
    2-6
    11:32
  4. SJS
    snapxG 0.07Video
    3-6
    16:51

Penalties

SJS 20 PIM·UTA 18 PIM

1st

  • 8:07SJSNick Leddy · Trippingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 9:07SJSDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

2nd

  • 4:33UTAJack McBain · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 10:26SJSDmitry Orlov · Holdingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 18:10SJSserved by Will Smith · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 6:54UTALogan Cooley · Holdingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 6:54UTALogan Cooley · Roughingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 6:54SJSMacklin Celebrini · Roughingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 6:54SJSVincent Desharnais · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:54UTADmitri Simashev · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:34UTADylan Guenther · Cross checkingdrawn by Collin Graf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalSJS goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Liam O'Brien, 2nd 16:09 — UTA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.35L. O'Brien · Goal · xG 0.30L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.24L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.23N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.23M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.23J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.21N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.16L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.15D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.14D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.14L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.13J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.12D. Simashev · Missed · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.08D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.00J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA6 G · 4.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsUTA
1.73 G
All situations
6 G4.2
1.11 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.62 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS14%86%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 4.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsUTA
21
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/3
Power play
1/4
20
Penalty minutes
18
25
Hits
14
12
Blocked shots
8
18
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD011-120.05204—22:49
38M. FerraroD000-320.02330—22:34
4N. LeddyD000-100.00132—22:32
21A. WennbergC011-100.000004519:37
22V. IorioD000-200.00110—19:21
72W. EklundL000-120.37110—17:52
71M. CelebriniC112030.332023817:24
96P. KurashevC000010.05100016:48
73T. ToffoliC101-140.38000016:42
6S. DickinsonD000-100.03000—15:14
10T. DellandreaC000-200.032005514:17
5V. DesharnaisD011010.011210—14:04
53J. SkinnerL112020.04000—14:02
23B. GoodrowC000-110.15110013:50
51C. GrafR000-210.18100—13:45
2W. SmithC011-200.00110012:19
75R. ReavesR000-100.00700—09:57
81A. GaudetteR000-120.071007509:21
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30Y. Askarov(L)34286.8244.24-1.7660:00

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).