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Maple Leafs at Blue Jackets
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final/OTTV FDSNOH, SN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 2-1 in overtime, William Nylander scoring at 4:40. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 4:40 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were TOR 24, CBJ 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Jet Greaves stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joseph Woll (35 saves, .972), 2. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jet Greaves (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Woll35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR06091613224
CBJCBJ0110711404136

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.07win prob +36 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:30
  2. TOR
    snapxG 0.04win prob +40 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:43

Overtime

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:40

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:10TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 7:10TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 7:10CBJMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 13:55TORDakota Mermis · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 18:39TORNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

2nd

  • 16:26CBJMiles Wood · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

3rd

  • 9:29CBJEgor Chinakhov · Slashingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTOR goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, OT 4:40 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.20A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.19D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.19M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.15A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.14L. Pinelli · On goal · xG 0.14S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.13A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.13C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.11A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.11A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.10A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.09C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.07A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05L. Pinelli · On goal · xG 0.05K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Pinelli · Missed · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01
CBJ1 G · 3.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsCBJ
2.92 G
All situations
1 G3.6
2.62 G
Even strength
1 G3.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR38%62%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 3.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsCBJ
24
Shots on goal
36
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
12
19
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD000+100.01330—25:12
44M. RiellyD000020.05010—24:55
34A. MatthewsC000030.581106024:35
95O. Ekman-LarssonD011+120.06124—21:30
23M. KniesL011-120.27300—21:25
2S. BenoitD000000.00100—20:45
88W. NylanderR112+230.40000—20:18
91J. TavaresC011+130.352006518:33
53E. CowanR101+130.41200—18:02
11M. DomiC000-100.01100015:24
28T. StecherD000-110.00020—15:09
55N. RoyC000010.582125814:21
74B. McMannC000010.06200012:57
24S. LaughtonC000010.031005512:53
36D. MermisD000000.00102—11:47
18S. LorentzC000010.0411010011:38
89N. RobertsonL000010.050205010:33
19C. JarnkrokC000000.00000008:15
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)36351.9723.65+2.6564:28

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).