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Maple Leafs at Blue Jackets
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸6
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-3. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Provorov's goal at 8:33 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 36, CBJ 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 3.7 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Sillinger (2 G, 1 A), 2. Charlie Coyle (4 A), 3. Mathieu Olivier (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    C. Sillinger2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    C. Coyle4 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    M. Olivier1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0911829336
CBJCBJ2637111624

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    C. Sillinger(1)
    C. Coyle (4), M. Olivier (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:56
  2. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(3)
    C. Coyle (5), M. Olivier (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:16

2nd period

  1. TOR
    S. Blais(1)
    J. McCabe (3), S. Lorentz (4)
    batxG 0.36win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:43
  2. CBJ
    I. Provorov(2)
    D. Voronkov (5), K. Marchenko (5)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:33
  3. CBJ
    C. Sillinger(2)
    C. Coyle (6), Z. Werenski (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:24
  4. CBJ
    D. Fabbro(1)
    M. Olivier (4), C. Sillinger (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    16:58

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Olivier(1)
    C. Coyle (7)
    wristxG 0.05Video
    1-6
    7:50
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(6)
    M. Knies (10), N. Robertson (2)
    snapxG 0.17Video
    2-6
    15:45
  3. TOR
    N. Robertson(2)
    M. Domi (1), S. Blais (1)
    wristxG 0.09Video
    3-6
    18:10

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:18TORPhilippe Myers · Holdingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min

3rd

  • 3:41CBJDamon Severson · Holdingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 4:02TORAuston Matthews · Slashingdrawn by Denton Mateychuk2 min
  • 12:25CBJDmitri Voronkov · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTOR goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Provorov, 2nd 8:33 — CBJ 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.27D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.23I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.17K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.17A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.14C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.09C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09D. Fabbro · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.07C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.00D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.00
CBJ6 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsCBJ
3.63 G
All situations
6 G2.3
3.33 G
Even strength
6 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR72%28%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsCBJ
36
Shots on goal
24
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
7
21
Blocked shots
19
23
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-100.23130—22:25
22J. McCabeD011-210.04010—20:20
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-210.08230—20:15
34A. MatthewsC000-150.372025719:46
25B. CarloD000-110.03120—19:10
2S. BenoitD000-210.02340—18:05
51P. MyersD000+220.12022—17:55
53E. CowanR000030.38110—17:23
89N. RobertsonL112+120.20000—17:22
55N. RoyC000010.081203816:54
74B. McMannC000040.31100016:31
81D. JoshuaC000020.34310015:46
23M. KniesL011-310.02100—15:19
91J. TavaresC101-340.462004114:21
11M. DomiC011010.190005013:42
63M. MaccelliL000-310.06010—12:34
79S. BlaisL112030.56510—10:55
18S. LorentzC011030.14100007:17
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Primeau(L)24186.7502.27-3.7360:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).